President Trump's March 27 remarks at the Future Investment Initiative in Miami, where he declared "Cuba is next" amid escalating rhetoric on Venezuelan oil flows and security ties, have boosted trader consensus on foreign policy phrases like "embargo," currently leading at 24% implied probability for mentions from March 29 to April 5. Ongoing Iran Strait tensions sustain interest in "Khamenei" at 19%, reflecting his pattern of naming adversaries in press gaggles during Mar-a-Lago executive time. With no confirmed public events scheduled, markets hinge on potential impromptu Truth Social posts or informal interactions, as seen in prior weeks' cabinet meetings and farmer addresses; historical base rates show 70-80% of such phrases appear in low-event periods. Resolution awaits official transcripts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$463,493 Vol.
Mar 29, 2026
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
18%
Kaitlan Collins
4%
Eat our Lunch
7%
Ethanol
8%
Embargo
15%
Finish the Job
16%
Khamenei
15%
Chuck Norris
5%
$463,493 Vol.
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
$14,833 Vol.
18%
Kaitlan Collins
$3,974 Vol.
4%
Eat our Lunch
$1,215 Vol.
7%
Ethanol
$10,024 Vol.
8%
Embargo
$8,343 Vol.
15%
Finish the Job
$3,253 Vol.
16%
Khamenei
$51,377 Vol.
15%
Chuck Norris
$4,158 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's March 27 remarks at the Future Investment Initiative in Miami, where he declared "Cuba is next" amid escalating rhetoric on Venezuelan oil flows and security ties, have boosted trader consensus on foreign policy phrases like "embargo," currently leading at 24% implied probability for mentions from March 29 to April 5. Ongoing Iran Strait tensions sustain interest in "Khamenei" at 19%, reflecting his pattern of naming adversaries in press gaggles during Mar-a-Lago executive time. With no confirmed public events scheduled, markets hinge on potential impromptu Truth Social posts or informal interactions, as seen in prior weeks' cabinet meetings and farmer addresses; historical base rates show 70-80% of such phrases appear in low-event periods. Resolution awaits official transcripts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volume
$463,493Date de fin
Mar 29, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's March 27 remarks at the Future Investment Initiative in Miami, where he declared "Cuba is next" amid escalating rhetoric on Venezuelan oil flows and security ties, have boosted trader consensus on foreign policy phrases like "embargo," currently leading at 24% implied probability for mentions from March 29 to April 5. Ongoing Iran Strait tensions sustain interest in "Khamenei" at 19%, reflecting his pattern of naming adversaries in press gaggles during Mar-a-Lago executive time. With no confirmed public events scheduled, markets hinge on potential impromptu Truth Social posts or informal interactions, as seen in prior weeks' cabinet meetings and farmer addresses; historical base rates show 70-80% of such phrases appear in low-event periods. Resolution awaits official transcripts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$463,493Date de fin
Mar 29, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's March 27 remarks at the Future Investment Initiative in Miami, where he declared "Cuba is next" amid escalating rhetoric on Venezuelan oil flows and security ties, have boosted trader consensus on foreign policy phrases like "embargo," currently leading at 24% implied probability for mentions from March 29 to April 5. Ongoing Iran Strait tensions sustain interest in "Khamenei" at 19%, reflecting his pattern of naming adversaries in press gaggles during Mar-a-Lago executive time. With no confirmed public events scheduled, markets hinge on potential impromptu Truth Social posts or informal interactions, as seen in prior weeks' cabinet meetings and farmer addresses; historical base rates show 70-80% of such phrases appear in low-event periods. Resolution awaits official transcripts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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