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What will Trump say at the debate?

Market icon

What will Trump say at the debate?

$4,318,051 Vol.

Sep 10, 2024
Polymarket

$4,318,051 Vol.

Polymarket

Abortion

$140,016 Vol.

Yes

Border Czar

$242,290 Vol.

Yes

Fake News

$259,470 Vol.

No

Drill Baby Drill

$165,219 Vol.

No

Comrade Kamala

$275,909 Vol.

No

Elon Musk

$255,962 Vol.

No

Epstein

$217,406 Vol.

No

MAGA 3+ times

$518,415 Vol.

Yes

Alien 5+ times

$100,381 Vol.

No

Border 15+ times

$298,168 Vol.

No

Tampon

$180,215 Vol.

No

Fraud

$73,728 Vol.

Yes

Crypto/Bitcoin

$501,982 Vol.

No

Israel

$117,846 Vol.

Yes

Marxist

$112,922 Vol.

Yes

China 3+ times

$207,696 Vol.

Yes

McDonald's

$142,343 Vol.

No

Springfield

$273,577 Vol.

Yes

Haitian

$118,739 Vol.

No

Cat

$115,767 Vol.

Yes

Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are currently scheduled to debate on September 10 in an event hosted by ABC News.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "abortion" at any point during the first presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "abortion" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the deliberate termination of a human pregnancy.

If no such debate in the 2024 election cycle happens by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if either candidate drops out of the race, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the debate.
Volume
$4,318,051
Date de fin
Sep 10, 2024
Créé le
Sep 3, 2024, 6:41 PM ET
Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are currently scheduled to debate on September 10 in an event hosted by ABC News. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "abortion" at any point during the first presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "abortion" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the deliberate termination of a human pregnancy. If no such debate in the 2024 election cycle happens by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if either candidate drops out of the race, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the debate.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say at the debate?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Abortion" at 100%, followed by "Border Czar" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump say at the debate?" has generated $4.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 3, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump say at the debate?," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say at the debate?" is "Abortion" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Border Czar" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say at the debate?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.