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Quel montant de revenus les États-Unis tireront-ils des droits de douane en 2025 ?

Market icon

Quel montant de revenus les États-Unis tireront-ils des droits de douane en 2025 ?

<100 milliards de dollars 100.0%

100–200 milliards de dollars <1%

$200–500 Md <1%

$500 Md$–$1 T$ <1%

Polymarket

$9,343,862 Vol.

<100 milliards de dollars 100.0%

100–200 milliards de dollars <1%

$200–500 Md <1%

$500 Md$–$1 T$ <1%

Polymarket

$9,343,862 Vol.

<100 milliards de dollars

$2,306,902 Vol.

Oui

100–200 milliards de dollars

$1,736,957 Vol.

Non

$200–500 Md

$1,116,195 Vol.

Non

$500 Md$–$1 T$

$2,670,721 Vol.

Non

$1–2t

$812,350 Vol.

Non

$2t+

$700,737 Vol.

Non

The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf).

This market will resolve according to the value of customs duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/)

If the Treasury Department does not publish relevant data for FY 2025 by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source will be the Treasury Department.
Volume
$9,343,862
Date de fin
Feb 28, 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2025, 6:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf). This market will resolve according to the value of customs duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/) If the Treasury Department does not publish relevant data for FY 2025 by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source will be the Treasury Department.

Résultat proposé: Oui

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quel montant de revenus les États-Unis tireront-ils des droits de douane en 2025 ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<100 milliards de dollars" at 100%, followed by "100–200 milliards de dollars" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quel montant de revenus les États-Unis tireront-ils des droits de douane en 2025 ?" has generated $9.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quel montant de revenus les États-Unis tireront-ils des droits de douane en 2025 ?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quel montant de revenus les États-Unis tireront-ils des droits de douane en 2025 ?" is "<100 milliards de dollars" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "100–200 milliards de dollars" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quel montant de revenus les États-Unis tireront-ils des droits de douane en 2025 ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.