Market icon

Qui assistera au discours sur l'état de l'Union ?

Market icon

Qui assistera au discours sur l'état de l'Union ?

$7,885,629 Vol.

Feb 24, 2026
Polymarket

$7,885,629 Vol.

Polymarket

Jared Kushner

$20,694 Vol.

Oui

Nicki Minaj

$54,699 Vol.

Non

Elon Musk

$54,389 Vol.

Non

Dana White

$40,190 Vol.

Non

Erika Kirk

$65,662 Vol.

Oui

Nick Shirley

$6,601,495 Vol.

Oui

Al Green

$47,142 Vol.

Oui

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$31,987 Vol.

Non

Mark Zuckerberg

$10,799 Vol.

Non

Tucker Carlson

$87,083 Vol.

Non

Jensen Huang

$24,279 Vol.

Non

Jeff Bezos

$7,271 Vol.

Non

Gianni Infantino

$56,553 Vol.

Non

Scott Bessent

$16,370 Vol.

Oui

John Fetterman

$9,992 Vol.

Oui

Pete Hegseth

$6,316 Vol.

Oui

Susan Collins

$13,031 Vol.

Oui

Kristi Noem

$9,560 Vol.

Oui

Nancy Pelosi

$24,657 Vol.

Oui

Doug Burgum

$6,479 Vol.

Oui

Jon Ossoff

$9,068 Vol.

Oui

Brooke Rollins

$6,925 Vol.

Oui

Chris Wright

$5,263 Vol.

Oui

Ivanka Trump

$15,742 Vol.

Oui

Mitch McConnell

$10,417 Vol.

Non

Kash Patel

$46,957 Vol.

Non

Neil Gorsuch

$8,655 Vol.

Non

Chris Murphy

$3,835 Vol.

Non

Anthony Kennedy

$18,306 Vol.

Non

Barron Trump

$51,277 Vol.

Oui

Ilhan Omar

$57,265 Vol.

Oui

Ketanji Brown Jackson

$17,753 Vol.

Non

Kevin Warsh

$2,200 Vol.

Non

George Santos

$149,782 Vol.

Non

María Corina Machado

$61,486 Vol.

Non

David Ellison

$6,744 Vol.

Oui

Brilyn Hollyhand

$3,198 Vol.

Non

Viktor Orbán

$5,302 Vol.

Non

Gavin Newsom

$7,109 Vol.

Non

Benjamin Netanyahu

$9,195 Vol.

Non

Delcy Rodriguez

$17,026 Vol.

Non

Judy Shelton

$140,752 Vol.

Non

Brett M. Kavanaugh

$8,785 Vol.

Oui

Amy Coney Barrett

$5,864 Vol.

Oui

Samuel A. Alito

$4,853 Vol.

Non

John G. Roberts

$7,548 Vol.

Oui

Clarence Thomas

$5,210 Vol.

Non

Sonia Sotomayor

$6,169 Vol.

Non

Elena Kagan

$4,292 Vol.

Oui

The 2026 State of the Union address is scheduled to be held in the Chamber of the U.S. House of Representatives on February 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 2026 State of the Union address. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the event is canceled or postponed beyond March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, attending the State of the Union address is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$7,885,629
Date de fin
Feb 24, 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 2, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
The 2026 State of the Union address is scheduled to be held in the Chamber of the U.S. House of Representatives on February 24, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 2026 State of the Union address. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, attending the State of the Union address is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Résultat proposé: Oui

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Qui assistera au discours sur l'état de l'Union ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 49+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jared Kushner" at 100%, followed by "Erika Kirk" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Qui assistera au discours sur l'état de l'Union ?" has generated $7.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Qui assistera au discours sur l'état de l'Union ?," browse the 49+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Qui assistera au discours sur l'état de l'Union ?" is "Jared Kushner" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Erika Kirk" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Qui assistera au discours sur l'état de l'Union ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.