Polymarket traders show overwhelming 88.9% implied probability for DC Metro median home value in the $548,000–$554,000 range on April 1, 2026, anchored by February Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) at $572,410 for the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro—down 0.3% year-over-year—amid stabilizing trends. Surging inventory, up over 25% per Redfin, and a shift toward buyer-friendly dynamics have fueled modest softening expectations for unreleased March data, with persistent 6% mortgage rates curbing demand. February median sale prices hit $585,000 (up 4.8% YoY per Bright MLS), but slower sales volume signals limited upside, pricing >$554k at just 5.2% while lower bins reflect tail risks from potential economic slowdowns. Resolution hinges on April 1 index snapshot.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourQuelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison dans la région métropolitaine de Washington DC le 1er avril ?
Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison dans la région métropolitaine de Washington DC le 1er avril ?
548 - 554k 85.5%
530 - 536k 5.5%
>554k 5.2%
536 - 542k 2.5%
$12,119 Vol.
$12,119 Vol.
<518k
<1%
518 - 524k
2%
524 - 530k
2%
530 - 536k
6%
536 - 542k
3%
542 - 548k
2%
548 - 554k
86%
>554k
5%
548 - 554k 85.5%
530 - 536k 5.5%
>554k 5.2%
536 - 542k 2.5%
$12,119 Vol.
$12,119 Vol.
<518k
<1%
518 - 524k
2%
524 - 530k
2%
530 - 536k
6%
536 - 542k
3%
542 - 548k
2%
548 - 554k
86%
>554k
5%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)
Marché ouvert : Feb 27, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders show overwhelming 88.9% implied probability for DC Metro median home value in the $548,000–$554,000 range on April 1, 2026, anchored by February Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) at $572,410 for the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro—down 0.3% year-over-year—amid stabilizing trends. Surging inventory, up over 25% per Redfin, and a shift toward buyer-friendly dynamics have fueled modest softening expectations for unreleased March data, with persistent 6% mortgage rates curbing demand. February median sale prices hit $585,000 (up 4.8% YoY per Bright MLS), but slower sales volume signals limited upside, pricing >$554k at just 5.2% while lower bins reflect tail risks from potential economic slowdowns. Resolution hinges on April 1 index snapshot.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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