Les États-Unis frappent l'Iran par... ?
$152,181,980 Vol.
Feb 1, 2026
1er février
$6,578,418 Vol.
<1%
1er février
$6,578,418 Vol.
<1%
2 février
$1,541,919 Vol.
1%
2 février
$1,541,919 Vol.
1%
3 février
$516,435 Vol.
2%
3 février
$516,435 Vol.
2%
4 février
$299,443 Vol.
3%
4 février
$299,443 Vol.
3%
5 février
$440,246 Vol.
4%
5 février
$440,246 Vol.
4%
6 février
$2,607,298 Vol.
7%
6 février
$2,607,298 Vol.
7%
13 février
$1,912,936 Vol.
18%
13 février
$1,912,936 Vol.
18%
28 février
$5,635,497 Vol.
33%
28 février
$5,635,497 Vol.
33%
31 mars
$4,846,178 Vol.
44%
31 mars
$4,846,178 Vol.
44%
30 juin
$2,720,379 Vol.
55%
30 juin
$2,720,379 Vol.
55%
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Créé le : Jan 29, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Volume
$152,181,980Date de fin
Jun 30, 2026Créé le
Jan 29, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Les États-Unis frappent l'Iran par... ?
$152,181,980 Vol.
1er février
$6,578,418 Vol.
<1%
2 février
$1,541,919 Vol.
1%
3 février
$516,435 Vol.
2%
4 février
$299,443 Vol.
3%
5 février
$440,246 Vol.
4%
6 février
$2,607,298 Vol.
7%
13 février
$1,912,936 Vol.
18%
28 février
$5,635,497 Vol.
33%
31 mars
$4,846,178 Vol.
44%
30 juin
$2,720,379 Vol.
55%
À propos
Volume
$152,181,980Date de fin
Jun 30, 2026Créé le
Jan 29, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
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