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Politique·Essais Trump

Trump prison time in NY case before election?

Market icon
Politique·Essais Trump

Trump prison time in NY case before election?

No prison time 100.0%

12-23 months <1%

36-47 months <1%

1-11 months <1%

Polymarket

$10,118,204 Vol.

No prison time 100.0%

12-23 months <1%

36-47 months <1%

1-11 months <1%

Polymarket

$10,118,204 Vol.

No prison time

$1,514,093 Vol.

Yes

1-11 months

$1,025,535 Vol.

No

12-23 months

$3,461,448 Vol.

No

24-35 months

$2,663,690 Vol.

No

36-47 months

$768,705 Vol.

No

48+ months

$684,733 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is not sentenced to spend any time in custody of a jail or prison, as part of "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "Yes". If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is sentenced to spend between 0 (exclusive) time and 11 months (inclusive) in the custody of a jail or prison, as part of "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is sentenced to spend between 12 (inclusive) months and 23 months (inclusive) in the custody of a jail or prison, as part of "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is sentenced to spend between 24 (inclusive) months and 35 months (inclusive) in the custody of a jail or prison, as part of "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is sentenced to spend between 36 (inclusive) months and 47 months (inclusive) in the custody of a jail or prison, as part of "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is sentenced to spend 48 or more months in the custody of a jail or prison, as part of "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is sentenced to spend between 12 (inclusive) months and 23 months (inclusive) in the custody of a jail or prison, as part of "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No".

If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,118,204
Date de fin
Nov 5, 2024
Marché ouvert
May 31, 2024, 12:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is sentenced to spend between 12 (inclusive) months and 23 months (inclusive) in the custody of a jail or prison, as part of "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is not sentenced to spend any time in custody of a jail or prison, as part of "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "Yes". If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is sentenced to spend between 0 (exclusive) time and 11 months (inclusive) in the custody of a jail or prison, as part of "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is sentenced to spend between 12 (inclusive) months and 23 months (inclusive) in the custody of a jail or prison, as part of "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is sentenced to spend between 24 (inclusive) months and 35 months (inclusive) in the custody of a jail or prison, as part of "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is sentenced to spend between 36 (inclusive) months and 47 months (inclusive) in the custody of a jail or prison, as part of "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is sentenced to spend 48 or more months in the custody of a jail or prison, as part of "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Trump prison time in NY case before election? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « No prison time » à 100%, suivi de « 1-11 months » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Trump prison time in NY case before election? » a généré $10.1 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le May 31, 2024. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Trump prison time in NY case before election? », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Trump prison time in NY case before election? » est « No prison time » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 1-11 months » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Trump prison time in NY case before election? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.