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Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Market icon

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Up

52% chance
Polymarket
NEW

Up

52% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 20, 2026, than on March 13, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 13, 2026, than on March 20, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 20, 2026, than on March 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 13, 2026, than on March 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$270
Date de fin
Mar 21, 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 12, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 20, 2026, than on March 13, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 13, 2026, than on March 20, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 20, 2026, than on March 13, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 13, 2026, than on March 20, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 20, 2026, than on March 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 13, 2026, than on March 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$270
Date de fin
Mar 21, 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 12, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 20, 2026, than on March 13, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 13, 2026, than on March 20, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« Trump approval Up or Down this week? » est un marché de prédiction quotidien sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts sur la question de savoir si le prix de Bitcoin finira plus haut (« Up ») ou plus bas (« Down ») que son prix d'ouverture sur la fenêtre quotidien spécifiée dans le titre. La probabilité actuelle du marché est de 52% pour « Up ». Un prix de 52% signifie que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 52% à ce résultat. Les prix sont mis à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders réagissent aux mouvements de prix en direct de Bitcoin. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Trump approval Up or Down this week? » est un marché actif à court terme sur Polymarket. Le volume de trading peut s'accumuler rapidement à mesure que la fenêtre quotidien progresse — entrez tôt pour aider à définir les cotes avant la fermeture de cette fenêtre.

Pour trader sur « Trump approval Up or Down this week? », décidez si vous pensez que le prix de Bitcoin à midi ET le March 20 sera plus haut (« Up ») ou plus bas (« Down ») qu'à midi ET le March 12. Achetez « Up » si vous pensez que le prix va monter, ou « Down » s'il va baisser. Entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat est correct, chaque part rapporte $1,00. S'il est incorrect, les parts valent $0.

La probabilité actuelle pour « Trump approval Up or Down this week? » est de 52% pour « Up », ce qui signifie que la communauté Polymarket attribue actuellement une probabilité de 52% que le prix de Bitcoin finira up sur cette fenêtre quotidien. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders réagissent aux données de prix en direct de Bitcoin. Sur une journée entière, les cotes reflètent le sentiment en évolution à mesure que l'action de prix de la journée se déroule. Revenez fréquemment ou tradez maintenant avant la fermeture de la fenêtre.

Le marché « Trump approval Up or Down this week? » se résout sur la base d'une comparaison du prix de Bitcoin à midi ET le March 20 par rapport à midi ET le March 12, en utilisant les prix de clôture des bougies 1 minute Binance BTC/USDT. Si le prix à midi du March 20 est plus élevé, le résultat est « Up » ; s'il est plus bas, « Down » ; s'il est égal, le marché se résout 50-50. Vous pouvez consulter les critères complets dans la section « Règles ».