$135,511 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
September 30
$22,815 Vol.
No
October 15
$16,300 Vol.
Yes
October 31
$8,352 Vol.
Yes
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
$36,376 Vol.
No
Super Heavy booster explodes?
$40,059 Vol.
Yes
Successful splash down?
$11,609 Vol.
Yes
If the 11th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the 11th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Créé le : Sep 9, 2025, 5:16 PM ET
Volume
$135,511Date de fin
Feb 28, 2026Créé le
Sep 9, 2025, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
$135,511 Vol.
September 30
$22,815 Vol.
No
October 15
$16,300 Vol.
Yes
October 31
$8,352 Vol.
Yes
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
$36,376 Vol.
No
Super Heavy booster explodes?
$40,059 Vol.
Yes
Successful splash down?
$11,609 Vol.
Yes
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Frequently Asked Questions
"SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "October 15" at 100%, followed by "October 31" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11" has generated $135.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11" is "October 15" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "October 31" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

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Frequently Asked Questions