The open NY-21 seat, vacated by retiring Rep. Elise Stefanik, favors Republicans in this R+10 district rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, driving trader consensus to 75% for a GOP winner. Recent consolidation on the Republican side includes the New York GOP's March 19 endorsement of Assemblyman Robert Smullen amid a competitive primary featuring self-funding CEO Anthony Constantino, bolstering party unity ahead of the June 23 closed primaries. Democrats face headwinds after candidate Dylan Hewitt suspended his campaign on March 27 due to fundraising shortfalls, leaving a fragmented field with Blake Gendebien and Stuart Amoriell; Republicans hold a clear cash advantage per early reports, underscoring the uphill path for Democrats in this battleground North Country district.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants NY-21
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants NY-21
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Parti républicain
75%
Parti démocrate
22%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Parti républicain
$6,066 Vol.
75%
Parti démocrate
$3,720 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open NY-21 seat, vacated by retiring Rep. Elise Stefanik, favors Republicans in this R+10 district rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, driving trader consensus to 75% for a GOP winner. Recent consolidation on the Republican side includes the New York GOP's March 19 endorsement of Assemblyman Robert Smullen amid a competitive primary featuring self-funding CEO Anthony Constantino, bolstering party unity ahead of the June 23 closed primaries. Democrats face headwinds after candidate Dylan Hewitt suspended his campaign on March 27 due to fundraising shortfalls, leaving a fragmented field with Blake Gendebien and Stuart Amoriell; Republicans hold a clear cash advantage per early reports, underscoring the uphill path for Democrats in this battleground North Country district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$9,787Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open NY-21 seat, vacated by retiring Rep. Elise Stefanik, favors Republicans in this R+10 district rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, driving trader consensus to 75% for a GOP winner. Recent consolidation on the Republican side includes the New York GOP's March 19 endorsement of Assemblyman Robert Smullen amid a competitive primary featuring self-funding CEO Anthony Constantino, bolstering party unity ahead of the June 23 closed primaries. Democrats face headwinds after candidate Dylan Hewitt suspended his campaign on March 27 due to fundraising shortfalls, leaving a fragmented field with Blake Gendebien and Stuart Amoriell; Republicans hold a clear cash advantage per early reports, underscoring the uphill path for Democrats in this battleground North Country district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$9,787Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open NY-21 seat, vacated by retiring Rep. Elise Stefanik, favors Republicans in this R+10 district rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, driving trader consensus to 75% for a GOP winner. Recent consolidation on the Republican side includes the New York GOP's March 19 endorsement of Assemblyman Robert Smullen amid a competitive primary featuring self-funding CEO Anthony Constantino, bolstering party unity ahead of the June 23 closed primaries. Democrats face headwinds after candidate Dylan Hewitt suspended his campaign on March 27 due to fundraising shortfalls, leaving a fragmented field with Blake Gendebien and Stuart Amoriell; Republicans hold a clear cash advantage per early reports, underscoring the uphill path for Democrats in this battleground North Country district.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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