Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 81% implied probability on 2.6 million–2.8 million TSA checkpoint passengers for March 27, anchored to official prior releases showing 2.72 million screened on March 26 and 2.64 million on March 23, with a 7-day moving average of 2.59 million as of March 26. Peak spring break demand—forecast at 2.8 million daily through April by Airlines for America—sustains elevated volumes despite a partial government shutdown driving 40–50% TSA officer callouts and multi-hour security lines at major hubs like BWI and Bush Intercontinental. Lower bins reflect risks of further staffing erosion, while upside remains constrained ahead of Easter on April 5; official March 27 data expected imminently.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour2.6M-2.8M 94%
2.8M-3.0M 9%
<2.6M 4.0%
3.0M-3.2M 2.6%
$23,192 Vol.
$23,192 Vol.
<2.6M
4%
2.6M-2.8M
81%
2.8M-3.0M
9%
3.0M-3.2M
3%
3.2M-3.4M
<1%
>3.4M
<1%
2.6M-2.8M 94%
2.8M-3.0M 9%
<2.6M 4.0%
3.0M-3.2M 2.6%
$23,192 Vol.
$23,192 Vol.
<2.6M
4%
2.6M-2.8M
81%
2.8M-3.0M
9%
3.0M-3.2M
3%
3.2M-3.4M
<1%
>3.4M
<1%
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Marché ouvert : Mar 23, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 81% implied probability on 2.6 million–2.8 million TSA checkpoint passengers for March 27, anchored to official prior releases showing 2.72 million screened on March 26 and 2.64 million on March 23, with a 7-day moving average of 2.59 million as of March 26. Peak spring break demand—forecast at 2.8 million daily through April by Airlines for America—sustains elevated volumes despite a partial government shutdown driving 40–50% TSA officer callouts and multi-hour security lines at major hubs like BWI and Bush Intercontinental. Lower bins reflect risks of further staffing erosion, while upside remains constrained ahead of Easter on April 5; official March 27 data expected imminently.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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