Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander's commanding lead in a March 23 poll—48% to Republican Lily Tang Williams' 36%—has solidified trader consensus at 73% for the Democratic Party in New Hampshire's 2nd Congressional District House race, reflecting her strong incumbency advantage in a D+2 Cook Partisan Voting Index district. Inside Elections rates the seat Likely Democratic, underscoring limited Republican path to victory absent major shifts. Tang Williams, who lost to Goodlander by double digits in 2024, trails again amid quiet fundraising edges for the incumbent. With primaries on September 8 and the general election November 3, national midterm dynamics favoring the out-party could narrow odds, but current polling trends anchor Democratic favoritism.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourNH-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NH-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Parti démocrate
74%
Parti républicain
26%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Parti démocrate
$0 Vol.
74%
Parti républicain
$0 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander's commanding lead in a March 23 poll—48% to Republican Lily Tang Williams' 36%—has solidified trader consensus at 73% for the Democratic Party in New Hampshire's 2nd Congressional District House race, reflecting her strong incumbency advantage in a D+2 Cook Partisan Voting Index district. Inside Elections rates the seat Likely Democratic, underscoring limited Republican path to victory absent major shifts. Tang Williams, who lost to Goodlander by double digits in 2024, trails again amid quiet fundraising edges for the incumbent. With primaries on September 8 and the general election November 3, national midterm dynamics favoring the out-party could narrow odds, but current polling trends anchor Democratic favoritism.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 4, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander's commanding lead in a March 23 poll—48% to Republican Lily Tang Williams' 36%—has solidified trader consensus at 73% for the Democratic Party in New Hampshire's 2nd Congressional District House race, reflecting her strong incumbency advantage in a D+2 Cook Partisan Voting Index district. Inside Elections rates the seat Likely Democratic, underscoring limited Republican path to victory absent major shifts. Tang Williams, who lost to Goodlander by double digits in 2024, trails again amid quiet fundraising edges for the incumbent. With primaries on September 8 and the general election November 3, national midterm dynamics favoring the out-party could narrow odds, but current polling trends anchor Democratic favoritism.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 4, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander's commanding lead in a March 23 poll—48% to Republican Lily Tang Williams' 36%—has solidified trader consensus at 73% for the Democratic Party in New Hampshire's 2nd Congressional District House race, reflecting her strong incumbency advantage in a D+2 Cook Partisan Voting Index district. Inside Elections rates the seat Likely Democratic, underscoring limited Republican path to victory absent major shifts. Tang Williams, who lost to Goodlander by double digits in 2024, trails again amid quiet fundraising edges for the incumbent. With primaries on September 8 and the general election November 3, national midterm dynamics favoring the out-party could narrow odds, but current polling trends anchor Democratic favoritism.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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