National polling shows notable public recognition for Count Binface as the main challenger in the August 13 Clacton by-election, triggered by Nigel Farage’s resignation, with major parties opting not to field candidates. Local constituency surveys indicate Reform UK retaining strong support, pointing to a substantial Reform victory amid low turnout expectations. Binface’s visibility from national media coverage and protest voting dynamics have elevated expectations for a double-digit share, though the fragmented field of over 30 candidates, including other novelty entrants, caps upside potential. Trader consensus on the 10–30% range reflects these constituency-specific factors and historical patterns for satirical candidates in high-profile by-elections.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉlection partielle de Clacton : comptez le % de vote Binface
Binface 10–20 % 45%
Binface 20–30 % 35%
Binface <10 % 9%
Binface 30–40 % 6.5%
$289,055 Vol.
$289,055 Vol.
Binface <10 %
9%
Binface 10–20 %
45%
Binface 20–30 %
35%
Binface 30–40 %
7%
Binface 40 %+
3%
Binface 10–20 % 45%
Binface 20–30 % 35%
Binface <10 % 9%
Binface 30–40 % 6.5%
$289,055 Vol.
$289,055 Vol.
Binface <10 %
9%
Binface 10–20 %
45%
Binface 20–30 %
35%
Binface 30–40 %
7%
Binface 40 %+
3%
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Marché ouvert : Jul 8, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...National polling shows notable public recognition for Count Binface as the main challenger in the August 13 Clacton by-election, triggered by Nigel Farage’s resignation, with major parties opting not to field candidates. Local constituency surveys indicate Reform UK retaining strong support, pointing to a substantial Reform victory amid low turnout expectations. Binface’s visibility from national media coverage and protest voting dynamics have elevated expectations for a double-digit share, though the fragmented field of over 30 candidates, including other novelty entrants, caps upside potential. Trader consensus on the 10–30% range reflects these constituency-specific factors and historical patterns for satirical candidates in high-profile by-elections.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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