Incumbent Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts holds a commanding trader consensus at 76.5% to win Nebraska's Class I Senate seat on November 3, 2026, reflecting the state's deep-red lean and his prior 25-point special election rout in 2024 as former governor. Recent partisan polls sponsored by challenger Dan Osborn show razor-thin margins—Ricketts 48%-47% and 46%-45%—yet traders discount them amid fragmented opposition and historical incumbency advantages in safe seats. The Nebraska Democratic Party declined to field a contender, pricing Democrats at 4.3%, with primary candidates Cindy Burbank (reinstated by state Supreme Court last week amid 'plant' accusations) and William Forbes unlikely to consolidate. Ricketts faces minor GOP primary foes; Osborn needs signatures by August ahead of May primaries.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$89,303 Vol.
$89,303 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Républicain
77%
Démocrate
4%
$89,303 Vol.
$89,303 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Républicain
$37,180 Vol.
77%
Démocrate
$52,123 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts holds a commanding trader consensus at 76.5% to win Nebraska's Class I Senate seat on November 3, 2026, reflecting the state's deep-red lean and his prior 25-point special election rout in 2024 as former governor. Recent partisan polls sponsored by challenger Dan Osborn show razor-thin margins—Ricketts 48%-47% and 46%-45%—yet traders discount them amid fragmented opposition and historical incumbency advantages in safe seats. The Nebraska Democratic Party declined to field a contender, pricing Democrats at 4.3%, with primary candidates Cindy Burbank (reinstated by state Supreme Court last week amid 'plant' accusations) and William Forbes unlikely to consolidate. Ricketts faces minor GOP primary foes; Osborn needs signatures by August ahead of May primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$89,303Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts holds a commanding trader consensus at 76.5% to win Nebraska's Class I Senate seat on November 3, 2026, reflecting the state's deep-red lean and his prior 25-point special election rout in 2024 as former governor. Recent partisan polls sponsored by challenger Dan Osborn show razor-thin margins—Ricketts 48%-47% and 46%-45%—yet traders discount them amid fragmented opposition and historical incumbency advantages in safe seats. The Nebraska Democratic Party declined to field a contender, pricing Democrats at 4.3%, with primary candidates Cindy Burbank (reinstated by state Supreme Court last week amid 'plant' accusations) and William Forbes unlikely to consolidate. Ricketts faces minor GOP primary foes; Osborn needs signatures by August ahead of May primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$89,303Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts holds a commanding trader consensus at 76.5% to win Nebraska's Class I Senate seat on November 3, 2026, reflecting the state's deep-red lean and his prior 25-point special election rout in 2024 as former governor. Recent partisan polls sponsored by challenger Dan Osborn show razor-thin margins—Ricketts 48%-47% and 46%-45%—yet traders discount them amid fragmented opposition and historical incumbency advantages in safe seats. The Nebraska Democratic Party declined to field a contender, pricing Democrats at 4.3%, with primary candidates Cindy Burbank (reinstated by state Supreme Court last week amid 'plant' accusations) and William Forbes unlikely to consolidate. Ricketts faces minor GOP primary foes; Osborn needs signatures by August ahead of May primaries.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes