Incumbent Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts' commanding 25-point special election victory in 2024 and Nebraska's status as a Republican stronghold underpin trader consensus pricing Republicans at 75% to retain the seat in November 2026. Popular former governor Ricketts holds a fundraising edge over independent challenger Dan Osborn, whose populist campaign echoes his near-upset of Sen. Deb Fischer last cycle, though recent Osborn-sponsored polls showing statistical ties (Ricketts 46-48%, Osborn 45-47%) diverge from market odds. On March 23, the Nebraska Supreme Court restored Democrat Cindy Burbank to the May 12 primary ballot amid plant allegations, but her intent to endorse Osborn in the general keeps Democratic probabilities low at 4.3%.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$89,865 Vol.
$89,865 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Républicain
75%
Démocrate
4%
$89,865 Vol.
$89,865 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Républicain
$37,473 Vol.
75%
Démocrate
$52,392 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts' commanding 25-point special election victory in 2024 and Nebraska's status as a Republican stronghold underpin trader consensus pricing Republicans at 75% to retain the seat in November 2026. Popular former governor Ricketts holds a fundraising edge over independent challenger Dan Osborn, whose populist campaign echoes his near-upset of Sen. Deb Fischer last cycle, though recent Osborn-sponsored polls showing statistical ties (Ricketts 46-48%, Osborn 45-47%) diverge from market odds. On March 23, the Nebraska Supreme Court restored Democrat Cindy Burbank to the May 12 primary ballot amid plant allegations, but her intent to endorse Osborn in the general keeps Democratic probabilities low at 4.3%.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$89,865Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts' commanding 25-point special election victory in 2024 and Nebraska's status as a Republican stronghold underpin trader consensus pricing Republicans at 75% to retain the seat in November 2026. Popular former governor Ricketts holds a fundraising edge over independent challenger Dan Osborn, whose populist campaign echoes his near-upset of Sen. Deb Fischer last cycle, though recent Osborn-sponsored polls showing statistical ties (Ricketts 46-48%, Osborn 45-47%) diverge from market odds. On March 23, the Nebraska Supreme Court restored Democrat Cindy Burbank to the May 12 primary ballot amid plant allegations, but her intent to endorse Osborn in the general keeps Democratic probabilities low at 4.3%.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$89,865Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts' commanding 25-point special election victory in 2024 and Nebraska's status as a Republican stronghold underpin trader consensus pricing Republicans at 75% to retain the seat in November 2026. Popular former governor Ricketts holds a fundraising edge over independent challenger Dan Osborn, whose populist campaign echoes his near-upset of Sen. Deb Fischer last cycle, though recent Osborn-sponsored polls showing statistical ties (Ricketts 46-48%, Osborn 45-47%) diverge from market odds. On March 23, the Nebraska Supreme Court restored Democrat Cindy Burbank to the May 12 primary ballot amid plant allegations, but her intent to endorse Osborn in the general keeps Democratic probabilities low at 4.3%.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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