NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed test of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands poised for liftoff no earlier than 6:24 p.m. EDT today, April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center, following resolution of key technical hurdles like a February hydrogen leak during wet dress rehearsal and prior Orion heat shield concerns from Artemis I. Countdown clocks activated March 30 with 80% favorable weather odds, and L-1 status conferences confirmed systems readiness after months of delays pushing from early 2026 targets. Trader sentiment reflects strong consensus on near-term execution, buoyed by NASA's rigorous risk mitigation, though last-minute gremlins or weather could trigger backup windows through April 6. The 10-day lunar flyby will validate deep-space human spaceflight capabilities, paving the way for Artemis III lunar landing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$717,574 Vol.
31 mars 2026
30 avril
92%
$717,574 Vol.
30 avril
$130,846 Vol.
92%
If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed test of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands poised for liftoff no earlier than 6:24 p.m. EDT today, April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center, following resolution of key technical hurdles like a February hydrogen leak during wet dress rehearsal and prior Orion heat shield concerns from Artemis I. Countdown clocks activated March 30 with 80% favorable weather odds, and L-1 status conferences confirmed systems readiness after months of delays pushing from early 2026 targets. Trader sentiment reflects strong consensus on near-term execution, buoyed by NASA's rigorous risk mitigation, though last-minute gremlins or weather could trigger backup windows through April 6. The 10-day lunar flyby will validate deep-space human spaceflight capabilities, paving the way for Artemis III lunar landing.
If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Marché ouvert : Jan 20, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$717,574Date de fin
31 mars 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 20, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed test of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands poised for liftoff no earlier than 6:24 p.m. EDT today, April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center, following resolution of key technical hurdles like a February hydrogen leak during wet dress rehearsal and prior Orion heat shield concerns from Artemis I. Countdown clocks activated March 30 with 80% favorable weather odds, and L-1 status conferences confirmed systems readiness after months of delays pushing from early 2026 targets. Trader sentiment reflects strong consensus on near-term execution, buoyed by NASA's rigorous risk mitigation, though last-minute gremlins or weather could trigger backup windows through April 6. The 10-day lunar flyby will validate deep-space human spaceflight capabilities, paving the way for Artemis III lunar landing.
If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Volume
$717,574Date de fin
31 mars 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 20, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed test of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands poised for liftoff no earlier than 6:24 p.m. EDT today, April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center, following resolution of key technical hurdles like a February hydrogen leak during wet dress rehearsal and prior Orion heat shield concerns from Artemis I. Countdown clocks activated March 30 with 80% favorable weather odds, and L-1 status conferences confirmed systems readiness after months of delays pushing from early 2026 targets. Trader sentiment reflects strong consensus on near-term execution, buoyed by NASA's rigorous risk mitigation, though last-minute gremlins or weather could trigger backup windows through April 6. The 10-day lunar flyby will validate deep-space human spaceflight capabilities, paving the way for Artemis III lunar landing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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