Missouri's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the 2024 presidential results and the Cook Political Report's Solid R rating. Incumbent Republican Mark Alford, first elected in 2022, faces primary challengers on August 4 but holds a clear path to the nomination in this rural and suburban district stretching from parts of Kansas City southward. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in their primary, yet the seat's consistent partisan lean and historical margins limit general election prospects on November 3. Recent redistricting upheld by the state supreme court in March has not altered the underlying electoral math. Late developments such as an unexpected primary outcome or national political shifts could narrow the gap, though structural advantages strongly favor Republican retention.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMO-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MO-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$31,204 Vol.
$31,204 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
93%
Parti démocrate
7%
$31,204 Vol.
$31,204 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$17,284 Vol.
93%
Parti démocrate
$13,920 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the 2024 presidential results and the Cook Political Report's Solid R rating. Incumbent Republican Mark Alford, first elected in 2022, faces primary challengers on August 4 but holds a clear path to the nomination in this rural and suburban district stretching from parts of Kansas City southward. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in their primary, yet the seat's consistent partisan lean and historical margins limit general election prospects on November 3. Recent redistricting upheld by the state supreme court in March has not altered the underlying electoral math. Late developments such as an unexpected primary outcome or national political shifts could narrow the gap, though structural advantages strongly favor Republican retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$31,204Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the 2024 presidential results and the Cook Political Report's Solid R rating. Incumbent Republican Mark Alford, first elected in 2022, faces primary challengers on August 4 but holds a clear path to the nomination in this rural and suburban district stretching from parts of Kansas City southward. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in their primary, yet the seat's consistent partisan lean and historical margins limit general election prospects on November 3. Recent redistricting upheld by the state supreme court in March has not altered the underlying electoral math. Late developments such as an unexpected primary outcome or national political shifts could narrow the gap, though structural advantages strongly favor Republican retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$31,204Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the 2024 presidential results and the Cook Political Report's Solid R rating. Incumbent Republican Mark Alford, first elected in 2022, faces primary challengers on August 4 but holds a clear path to the nomination in this rural and suburban district stretching from parts of Kansas City southward. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in their primary, yet the seat's consistent partisan lean and historical margins limit general election prospects on November 3. Recent redistricting upheld by the state supreme court in March has not altered the underlying electoral math. Late developments such as an unexpected primary outcome or national political shifts could narrow the gap, though structural advantages strongly favor Republican retention.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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