Trader consensus on the Kansas Democratic Senate primary heavily favors Rep. Sharice Davids at 57% implied probability, driven by her prominence as the state's highest-profile Democrat, proven fundraising prowess from her House races, and broad name recognition among voters. Challengers Christy Davis (21.5%) and Patrick Schmidt (18.8%) trail due to lower visibility and limited campaign infrastructure, despite filing paperwork with the FEC. Lesser-known entrants like Michael Soetaert, Sandy Spidel Neumann, and Anne Parelkar hold slim shares amid scant polling. Recent FEC filings show Davids' team ramping up activity, fueling speculation of a late entry, while no major endorsements have shifted dynamics ahead of the August 6 primary.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourSharice Davids 57%
Christy Davis 12%
Michael Soetaert 5%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 3.4%
$61,725 Vol.
$61,725 Vol.
Sharice Davids
57%
Christy Davis
22%
Michael Soetaert
5%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
3%
Anne Parelkar
3%
Patrick Schmidt
19%
Sharice Davids 57%
Christy Davis 12%
Michael Soetaert 5%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 3.4%
$61,725 Vol.
$61,725 Vol.
Sharice Davids
57%
Christy Davis
22%
Michael Soetaert
5%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
3%
Anne Parelkar
3%
Patrick Schmidt
19%
If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on the Kansas Democratic Senate primary heavily favors Rep. Sharice Davids at 57% implied probability, driven by her prominence as the state's highest-profile Democrat, proven fundraising prowess from her House races, and broad name recognition among voters. Challengers Christy Davis (21.5%) and Patrick Schmidt (18.8%) trail due to lower visibility and limited campaign infrastructure, despite filing paperwork with the FEC. Lesser-known entrants like Michael Soetaert, Sandy Spidel Neumann, and Anne Parelkar hold slim shares amid scant polling. Recent FEC filings show Davids' team ramping up activity, fueling speculation of a late entry, while no major endorsements have shifted dynamics ahead of the August 6 primary.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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