A US-brokered 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, effective April 16, 2026, has paused Israeli ground operations in southern Lebanon—limited since mid-March to areas south of the Litani River targeting Hezbollah infrastructure—preventing any advance toward Beirut and signaling de-escalation through direct bilateral talks. Airstrikes have hit Beirut suburbs amid the 2026 Israel-Hezbollah war, but no verified ground incursions into the capital occurred, with Lebanon's army deploying to secure the city against Hezbollah re-entry. Traders monitor truce violations like sporadic rocket exchanges, with expiration around April 26 and US-facilitated negotiations as pivotal events that could either extend the pause or prompt renewed military action.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLes forces israéliennes entrent dans Beyrouth par... ?
Les forces israéliennes entrent dans Beyrouth par... ?
$139,875 Vol.
30 avril
2%
$139,875 Vol.
30 avril
2%
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 16, 2026, 8:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A US-brokered 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, effective April 16, 2026, has paused Israeli ground operations in southern Lebanon—limited since mid-March to areas south of the Litani River targeting Hezbollah infrastructure—preventing any advance toward Beirut and signaling de-escalation through direct bilateral talks. Airstrikes have hit Beirut suburbs amid the 2026 Israel-Hezbollah war, but no verified ground incursions into the capital occurred, with Lebanon's army deploying to secure the city against Hezbollah re-entry. Traders monitor truce violations like sporadic rocket exchanges, with expiration around April 26 and US-facilitated negotiations as pivotal events that could either extend the pause or prompt renewed military action.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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