Israel strike on Yemen on...?
Israel strike on Yemen on...?
September 10 100.0%
September 9 or earlier <1%
September 11 <1%
September 12 <1%
$1,158,966 Vol.
$1,158,966 Vol.
Sep 15, 2025
September 9 or earlier
No
September 10
Yes
September 11
No
September 12
No
September 13
No
September 14
No
September 15
No
No strike
No
September 10 100.0%
September 9 or earlier <1%
September 11 <1%
September 12 <1%
$1,158,966 Vol.
$1,158,966 Vol.
Sep 15, 2025
September 9 or earlier
$126,972 Vol.
No
September 10
$646,322 Vol.
Yes
September 11
$128,011 Vol.
No
September 12
$60,641 Vol.
No
September 13
$50,658 Vol.
No
September 14
$51,997 Vol.
No
September 15
$59,250 Vol.
No
No strike
$35,116 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the first day ET Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate between September 8 and September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No strike" if no qualifying strike is conducted by September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the first day ET Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate between September 8 and September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No strike" if no qualifying strike is conducted by September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No strike" if no qualifying strike is conducted by September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Créé le : Sep 8, 2025, 4:31 PM ET
Volume
$1,158,966Date de fin
Sep 15, 2025Créé le
Sep 8, 2025, 4:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No

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