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Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

27°C 32%

26°C 26%

28°C 21%

29°C 10%

Polymarket

$35,955 Vol.

27°C 32%

26°C 26%

28°C 21%

29°C 10%

Polymarket

$35,955 Vol.

21°C or below

$4,270 Vol.

<1%

22°C

$6,416 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$7,535 Vol.

2%

24°C

$2,921 Vol.

4%

25°C

$1,764 Vol.

7%

26°C

$1,520 Vol.

26%

27°C

$2,060 Vol.

32%

28°C

$1,637 Vol.

21%

29°C

$1,812 Vol.

10%

30°C

$2,357 Vol.

3%

31°C or higher

$3,663 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Baoan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 26–28°C for Shenzhen's highest temperature on March 29, mirroring the latest ensemble forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological services, which project daytime peaks of 26–28°C amid partly cloudy skies and high humidity near 80%. Yesterday's observed high of about 27°C and persistent southerly sea breezes provide continuity, but differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover—potentially capping at 26°C if thicker—or clearer intervals allowing solar heating to reach 28°C via urban heat island effects in this subtropical setting. Light winds (5–15 km/h) minimize mixing, heightening 1°C uncertainty; watch for China Meteorological Administration updates overnight as observations begin early March 29. Historical late-March averages hover at 24°C, underscoring mild above-normal expectations.

Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 26–28°C for Shenzhen's highest temperature on March 29, mirroring the latest ensemble forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological services, which project daytime peaks of 26–28°C amid partly cloudy skies and high humidity near 80%. Yesterday's observed high of about 27°C and persistent southerly sea breezes provide continuity, but differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover—potentially capping at 26°C if thicker—or clearer intervals allowing solar heating to reach 28°C via urban heat island effects in this subtropical setting. Light winds (5–15 km/h) minimize mixing, heightening 1°C uncertainty; watch for China Meteorological Administration updates overnight as observations begin early March 29. Historical late-March averages hover at 24°C, underscoring mild above-normal expectations.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Baoan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 26–28°C for Shenzhen's highest temperature on March 29, mirroring the latest ensemble forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological services, which project daytime peaks of 26–28°C amid partly cloudy skies and high humidity near 80%. Yesterday's observed high of about 27°C and persistent southerly sea breezes provide continuity, but differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover—potentially capping at 26°C if thicker—or clearer intervals allowing solar heating to reach 28°C via urban heat island effects in this subtropical setting. Light winds (5–15 km/h) minimize mixing, heightening 1°C uncertainty; watch for China Meteorological Administration updates overnight as observations begin early March 29. Historical late-March averages hover at 24°C, underscoring mild above-normal expectations.

Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 26–28°C for Shenzhen's highest temperature on March 29, mirroring the latest ensemble forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological services, which project daytime peaks of 26–28°C amid partly cloudy skies and high humidity near 80%. Yesterday's observed high of about 27°C and persistent southerly sea breezes provide continuity, but differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover—potentially capping at 26°C if thicker—or clearer intervals allowing solar heating to reach 28°C via urban heat island effects in this subtropical setting. Light winds (5–15 km/h) minimize mixing, heightening 1°C uncertainty; watch for China Meteorological Administration updates overnight as observations begin early March 29. Historical late-March averages hover at 24°C, underscoring mild above-normal expectations.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 27°C » à 32%, suivi de « 26°C » à 26%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 32¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 32% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29? » a généré $36K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 25, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29? » est « 27°C » à 32%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 32% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 26°C » à 26%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.