Trader consensus heavily favors a Seattle high of 50-51°F (56.5% implied probability) on March 25, driven by the latest NOAA National Weather Service forecast projecting a peak near 51°F under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. This aligns with ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF, showing a cool maritime air mass persisting after recent Pacific low-pressure systems suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms of 54-56°F. Observations from Sea-Tac Airport over the past week averaged 48-52°F highs, reinforcing the 48-53°F cluster (95% combined odds), while upside risks from potential clearing remain slim per short-range guidance. Diurnal warming caps at 2-3°F above model means amid typical spring variability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Seattle on March 25?
Highest temperature in Seattle on March 25?
50-51°F 54%
48-49°F 28%
52-53°F 10.4%
46-47°F 4.5%
$58,356 Vol.
$58,356 Vol.
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
5%
48-49°F
28%
50-51°F
54%
52-53°F
10%
54-55°F
2%
56-57°F
<1%
58°F or higher
<1%
50-51°F 54%
48-49°F 28%
52-53°F 10.4%
46-47°F 4.5%
$58,356 Vol.
$58,356 Vol.
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
5%
48-49°F
28%
50-51°F
54%
52-53°F
10%
54-55°F
2%
56-57°F
<1%
58°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a Seattle high of 50-51°F (56.5% implied probability) on March 25, driven by the latest NOAA National Weather Service forecast projecting a peak near 51°F under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. This aligns with ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF, showing a cool maritime air mass persisting after recent Pacific low-pressure systems suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms of 54-56°F. Observations from Sea-Tac Airport over the past week averaged 48-52°F highs, reinforcing the 48-53°F cluster (95% combined odds), while upside risks from potential clearing remain slim per short-range guidance. Diurnal warming caps at 2-3°F above model means amid typical spring variability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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