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Highest temperature in NYC on March 27?

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Highest temperature in NYC on March 27?

66-67°F 100.0%

49°F ou moins <1%

50-51°F <1%

52-53°F <1%

Polymarket

$289,213 Vol.

66-67°F 100.0%

49°F ou moins <1%

50-51°F <1%

52-53°F <1%

Polymarket

$289,213 Vol.

49°F ou moins

$13,541 Vol.

Non

50-51°F

$10,682 Vol.

Non

52-53°F

$11,895 Vol.

Non

54-55 °F

$15,483 Vol.

Non

56-57°F

$15,846 Vol.

Non

58-59°F

$20,614 Vol.

Non

60-61°F

$21,742 Vol.

Non

62-63 °F

$38,470 Vol.

Non

64-65°F

$35,718 Vol.

Non

66-67°F

$58,059 Vol.

Oui

68°F or higher

$47,162 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park—the authoritative station for New York City daily temperature records—confirm a maximum of 66-67°F on March 27, 2026, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that outcome as traders incorporate verified data. Unseasonably mild spring conditions prevailed, with southerly winds ahead of a cold front ushering warmer Atlantic air masses, consistent with NOAA GFS and ECMWF model consensus that forecasted highs near 66°F under partly sunny skies. This exceeds the late-March climatological average of around 52°F, reflecting above-normal Northeast temperatures in recent 10-14 day outlooks influenced by a persistent upper-level ridge. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare data revisions from quality control audits or station-specific discrepancies (e.g., LaGuardia Airport readings), with final monthly climate reports expected soon.

Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park—the authoritative station for New York City daily temperature records—confirm a maximum of 66-67°F on March 27, 2026, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that outcome as traders incorporate verified data. Unseasonably mild spring conditions prevailed, with southerly winds ahead of a cold front ushering warmer Atlantic air masses, consistent with NOAA GFS and ECMWF model consensus that forecasted highs near 66°F under partly sunny skies. This exceeds the late-March climatological average of around 52°F, reflecting above-normal Northeast temperatures in recent 10-14 day outlooks influenced by a persistent upper-level ridge. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare data revisions from quality control audits or station-specific discrepancies (e.g., LaGuardia Airport readings), with final monthly climate reports expected soon.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park—the authoritative station for New York City daily temperature records—confirm a maximum of 66-67°F on March 27, 2026, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that outcome as traders incorporate verified data. Unseasonably mild spring conditions prevailed, with southerly winds ahead of a cold front ushering warmer Atlantic air masses, consistent with NOAA GFS and ECMWF model consensus that forecasted highs near 66°F under partly sunny skies. This exceeds the late-March climatological average of around 52°F, reflecting above-normal Northeast temperatures in recent 10-14 day outlooks influenced by a persistent upper-level ridge. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare data revisions from quality control audits or station-specific discrepancies (e.g., LaGuardia Airport readings), with final monthly climate reports expected soon.

Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park—the authoritative station for New York City daily temperature records—confirm a maximum of 66-67°F on March 27, 2026, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that outcome as traders incorporate verified data. Unseasonably mild spring conditions prevailed, with southerly winds ahead of a cold front ushering warmer Atlantic air masses, consistent with NOAA GFS and ECMWF model consensus that forecasted highs near 66°F under partly sunny skies. This exceeds the late-March climatological average of around 52°F, reflecting above-normal Northeast temperatures in recent 10-14 day outlooks influenced by a persistent upper-level ridge. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare data revisions from quality control audits or station-specific discrepancies (e.g., LaGuardia Airport readings), with final monthly climate reports expected soon.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in NYC on March 27? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 66-67°F » à 100%, suivi de « 49°F ou moins » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Highest temperature in NYC on March 27? » a généré $289.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 23, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in NYC on March 27? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in NYC on March 27? » est « 66-67°F » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 49°F ou moins » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in NYC on March 27? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.