India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts indicate Lucknow's maximum temperature on March 27 will likely hover near 33°C under mostly clear skies with light winds, driving the tight trader consensus where 33°C holds a 34.5% implied probability just ahead of 32°C or below at 31.5%. Recent observations show March 25 highs at 34.2°C cooling slightly amid neutral El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) conditions and upper-level subsidence suppressing extremes, while forecast models like GFS and IMD's WRF diverge by 1–2°C on peak heating potential around midday. Historical late-March averages (~33°C) reinforce this clustering, though minor cloud incursions or nocturnal cooling could tip toward 32°C; traders await the official IMD observatory reading for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 27 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 27 mars ?
33°C 34%
32°C ou moins 32%
34°C 24%
35°C 7%
$35,892 Vol.
$35,892 Vol.
32°C ou moins
32%
33°C
34%
34°C
24%
35°C
7%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C ou plus
<1%
33°C 34%
32°C ou moins 32%
34°C 24%
35°C 7%
$35,892 Vol.
$35,892 Vol.
32°C ou moins
32%
33°C
34%
34°C
24%
35°C
7%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts indicate Lucknow's maximum temperature on March 27 will likely hover near 33°C under mostly clear skies with light winds, driving the tight trader consensus where 33°C holds a 34.5% implied probability just ahead of 32°C or below at 31.5%. Recent observations show March 25 highs at 34.2°C cooling slightly amid neutral El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) conditions and upper-level subsidence suppressing extremes, while forecast models like GFS and IMD's WRF diverge by 1–2°C on peak heating potential around midday. Historical late-March averages (~33°C) reinforce this clustering, though minor cloud incursions or nocturnal cooling could tip toward 32°C; traders await the official IMD observatory reading for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes