India Meteorological Department forecasts point to a daytime high of 34-36°C in Lucknow on March 29, anchoring trader sentiment with 34°C or below leading at 40% implied probability, followed closely by 35°C (23%) and 36°C (21%). Recent observations confirm rising temperatures, with highs reaching 33°C on March 27 amid persistent clear skies, low humidity, and typical pre-monsoon warming in Uttar Pradesh, where March averages hover around 32-35°C. Global ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show consensus on moderate heat without extreme escalation, though urban heat island effects and afternoon convective potential add uncertainty. Hourly station data will finalize resolution as the date unfolds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 29 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 29 mars ?
34°C ou moins 40%
35°C 24%
36°C 20%
39°C 13.0%
34°C ou moins
40%
35°C
24%
36°C
22%
37°C
12%
38°C
9%
39°C
7%
40°C
3%
41°C
3%
42°C
3%
43°C
3%
44°C ou plus
<1%
34°C ou moins 40%
35°C 24%
36°C 20%
39°C 13.0%
34°C ou moins
40%
35°C
24%
36°C
22%
37°C
12%
38°C
9%
39°C
7%
40°C
3%
41°C
3%
42°C
3%
43°C
3%
44°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department forecasts point to a daytime high of 34-36°C in Lucknow on March 29, anchoring trader sentiment with 34°C or below leading at 40% implied probability, followed closely by 35°C (23%) and 36°C (21%). Recent observations confirm rising temperatures, with highs reaching 33°C on March 27 amid persistent clear skies, low humidity, and typical pre-monsoon warming in Uttar Pradesh, where March averages hover around 32-35°C. Global ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show consensus on moderate heat without extreme escalation, though urban heat island effects and afternoon convective potential add uncertainty. Hourly station data will finalize resolution as the date unfolds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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