India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts confirm a maximum temperature of 36°C for Lucknow on March 26, aligning with trader consensus at 100% market-implied probability, driven by the latest model runs showing stable atmospheric conditions and no heatwave signals. Current observations indicate daytime highs in the mid-30s°C amid typical pre-monsoon weather patterns, with low humidity and moderate northeasterly winds suppressing further warming; historical March data for Lucknow averages 32–36°C, supporting this positioning without extremes like the 43°C outlier. Ensemble forecast models exhibit high agreement on this outcome, though rare scenarios such as sudden clear skies or subsidence could push temperatures higher if upper-level ridging strengthens unexpectedly. Final resolution awaits official IMD-recorded high for the day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
36°C 100.0%
34°C or below <1%
35°C <1%
37°C <1%
$70,233 Vol.
$70,233 Vol.
34°C or below
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
34°C or below <1%
35°C <1%
37°C <1%
$70,233 Vol.
$70,233 Vol.
34°C or below
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Yes
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Yes
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Yes
India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts confirm a maximum temperature of 36°C for Lucknow on March 26, aligning with trader consensus at 100% market-implied probability, driven by the latest model runs showing stable atmospheric conditions and no heatwave signals. Current observations indicate daytime highs in the mid-30s°C amid typical pre-monsoon weather patterns, with low humidity and moderate northeasterly winds suppressing further warming; historical March data for Lucknow averages 32–36°C, supporting this positioning without extremes like the 43°C outlier. Ensemble forecast models exhibit high agreement on this outcome, though rare scenarios such as sudden clear skies or subsidence could push temperatures higher if upper-level ridging strengthens unexpectedly. Final resolution awaits official IMD-recorded high for the day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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