Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on March 25 hit 33°C at the Colvin Park station, driving unanimous trader consensus (100% implied probability) for "33°C or below." This reflects typical late-March conditions in Uttar Pradesh, with dry continental air and light northerly winds suppressing highs amid pre-monsoon norms of 30-35°C. No heat dome, western disturbance, or urban heat amplification pushed readings higher, as verified by standard 1.5-meter shade measurements. With the daily bulletin released, resolution is all but certain; only an extraordinary data audit revision—unprecedented for routine max temps—could challenge it, though model forecasts had already implied low risk above 33°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 25 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 25 mars ?
33°C ou moins 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$68,200 Vol.
$68,200 Vol.
33°C ou moins
Oui
34°C
Non
35°C
Non
36°C
Non
37°C
Non
38°C
Non
39°C
Non
40°C
Non
41°C
Non
42°C
Non
43°C ou plus
Non
33°C ou moins 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$68,200 Vol.
$68,200 Vol.
33°C ou moins
Oui
34°C
Non
35°C
Non
36°C
Non
37°C
Non
38°C
Non
39°C
Non
40°C
Non
41°C
Non
42°C
Non
43°C ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on March 25 hit 33°C at the Colvin Park station, driving unanimous trader consensus (100% implied probability) for "33°C or below." This reflects typical late-March conditions in Uttar Pradesh, with dry continental air and light northerly winds suppressing highs amid pre-monsoon norms of 30-35°C. No heat dome, western disturbance, or urban heat amplification pushed readings higher, as verified by standard 1.5-meter shade measurements. With the daily bulletin released, resolution is all but certain; only an extraordinary data audit revision—unprecedented for routine max temps—could challenge it, though model forecasts had already implied low risk above 33°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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