Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 44% implied probability for a 70-71°F high at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on March 28, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast showing patchy morning fog from a persistent marine layer—cool coastal waters and low-level temperature inversion trapping stratocumulus clouds—giving way to gradual clearing and light southwest winds of 5-10 mph in the afternoon. This caps coastal heating after an early-March heat wave that set downtown records above 90°F multiple times, with current overnight lows near 57-63°F and models converging on 68-73°F peaks amid typical late-March climatology (historical KLAX average ~68°F). Key uncertainty lies in marine layer erosion timing; slower burn-off favors lower bins, while faster clearing could boost 72-73°F odds—watch hourly observations for intraday shifts as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Los Angeles on March 28?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 28?
70-71°F 44%
68-69°F 25.5%
72-73°F 22%
67°F or below 6.5%
$62,947 Vol.
$62,947 Vol.
67°F or below
6%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
44%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
1%
70-71°F 44%
68-69°F 25.5%
72-73°F 22%
67°F or below 6.5%
$62,947 Vol.
$62,947 Vol.
67°F or below
6%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
44%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 44% implied probability for a 70-71°F high at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on March 28, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast showing patchy morning fog from a persistent marine layer—cool coastal waters and low-level temperature inversion trapping stratocumulus clouds—giving way to gradual clearing and light southwest winds of 5-10 mph in the afternoon. This caps coastal heating after an early-March heat wave that set downtown records above 90°F multiple times, with current overnight lows near 57-63°F and models converging on 68-73°F peaks amid typical late-March climatology (historical KLAX average ~68°F). Key uncertainty lies in marine layer erosion timing; slower burn-off favors lower bins, while faster clearing could boost 72-73°F odds—watch hourly observations for intraday shifts as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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