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Highest temperature in London on March 27?

Market icon

Highest temperature in London on March 27?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

12°C 55%

11°C 35%

13°C 13%

14°C 1.8%

Polymarket

$155,977 Vol.

12°C 55%

11°C 35%

13°C 13%

14°C 1.8%

Polymarket

$155,977 Vol.

8°C or below

$22,430 Vol.

<1%

9°C

$28,723 Vol.

<1%

10°C

$16,018 Vol.

1%

11°C

$13,572 Vol.

35%

12°C

$15,707 Vol.

55%

13°C

$11,671 Vol.

13%

14°C

$12,423 Vol.

2%

15°C

$11,393 Vol.

<1%

16°C

$6,914 Vol.

<1%

17°C

$7,606 Vol.

<1%

18°C or higher

$10,181 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 12°C high in London on March 27 at 54.5% implied probability, driven by the latest Met Office forecast models showing a high-pressure ridge stabilizing over southern England, delivering mild southerly airflow with partial cloud cover capping daytime heating. Ensemble predictions from ECMWF and UKMO indicate peak temperatures clustering around 11–13°C, aligning with recent observations of similar setups yielding 11–12°C maxima earlier this week amid lingering Atlantic influences. Historical late-March averages for Heathrow (11.5°C) provide baseline support, though low-level jet streams introduce minor uncertainty for slight intensification. Traders await the 00Z model runs tomorrow for potential refinements ahead of the event.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$155,977
Date de fin
Mar 27, 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 23, 2026, 6:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 12°C high in London on March 27 at 54.5% implied probability, driven by the latest Met Office forecast models showing a high-pressure ridge stabilizing over southern England, delivering mild southerly airflow with partial cloud cover capping daytime heating. Ensemble predictions from ECMWF and UKMO indicate peak temperatures clustering around 11–13°C, aligning with recent observations of similar setups yielding 11–12°C maxima earlier this week amid lingering Atlantic influences. Historical late-March averages for Heathrow (11.5°C) provide baseline support, though low-level jet streams introduce minor uncertainty for slight intensification. Traders await the 00Z model runs tomorrow for potential refinements ahead of the event.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 12°C high in London on March 27 at 54.5% implied probability, driven by the latest Met Office forecast models showing a high-pressure ridge stabilizing over southern England, delivering mild southerly airflow with partial cloud cover capping daytime heating. Ensemble predictions from ECMWF and UKMO indicate peak temperatures clustering around 11–13°C, aligning with recent observations of similar setups yielding 11–12°C maxima earlier this week amid lingering Atlantic influences. Historical late-March averages for Heathrow (11.5°C) provide baseline support, though low-level jet streams introduce minor uncertainty for slight intensification. Traders await the 00Z model runs tomorrow for potential refinements ahead of the event.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in London on March 27? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 12°C » à 55%, suivi de « 11°C » à 35%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 55¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 55% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Highest temperature in London on March 27? » a généré $156K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 23, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in London on March 27? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in London on March 27? » est « 12°C » à 55%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 55% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 11°C » à 35%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in London on March 27? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.