Official observations from the National Weather Service at Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) confirm a maximum temperature of 85°F on April 3, 2026, recorded at 12:15 PM amid warm, humid conditions with light rain, fog, and haze, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 84-85°F outcome on Polymarket. This exceeded the climatological average high of 77°F, supported by model forecasts from NOAA predicting mid-80s peaks under a ridge of high pressure before an approaching cold front and severe storms increased cloud cover and precipitation later in the day. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as sensor recalibrations—but official NWS reports provide robust verification, with minimal divergence from nearby Intercontinental Airport's 84°F high.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Houston on April 3?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 3?
84-85°F 100.0%
78-79°F 3.5%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
$73,508 Vol.
$73,508 Vol.
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
Yes
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
84-85°F 100.0%
78-79°F 3.5%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
$73,508 Vol.
$73,508 Vol.
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
Yes
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Official observations from the National Weather Service at Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) confirm a maximum temperature of 85°F on April 3, 2026, recorded at 12:15 PM amid warm, humid conditions with light rain, fog, and haze, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 84-85°F outcome on Polymarket. This exceeded the climatological average high of 77°F, supported by model forecasts from NOAA predicting mid-80s peaks under a ridge of high pressure before an approaching cold front and severe storms increased cloud cover and precipitation later in the day. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as sensor recalibrations—but official NWS reports provide robust verification, with minimal divergence from nearby Intercontinental Airport's 84°F high.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes