Official National Weather Service observations at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport (KDFW) recorded a high temperature of 74-75°F on March 27, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast models predicting cooler conditions from an advancing cold front, which brought increased cloud cover, gusty winds, and scattered showers after an anomalously warm March—DFW shattered monthly records with peaks like 95°F on March 22 amid persistent high-pressure ridging. Historical March highs average 69°F, making this day mildly above normal but constrained by frontal dynamics. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from quality control audits or discrepancies with nearby stations like Dallas Love Field (KDAL), though NWS measurements remain authoritative with negligible uncertainty at this stage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Dallas on March 27?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 27?
74-75°F 100.0%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$353,972 Vol.
$353,972 Vol.
74-75°F
100%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 100.0%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$353,972 Vol.
$353,972 Vol.
74-75°F
100%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service observations at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport (KDFW) recorded a high temperature of 74-75°F on March 27, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast models predicting cooler conditions from an advancing cold front, which brought increased cloud cover, gusty winds, and scattered showers after an anomalously warm March—DFW shattered monthly records with peaks like 95°F on March 22 amid persistent high-pressure ridging. Historical March highs average 69°F, making this day mildly above normal but constrained by frontal dynamics. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from quality control audits or discrepancies with nearby stations like Dallas Love Field (KDAL), though NWS measurements remain authoritative with negligible uncertainty at this stage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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