Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth indicate a high temperature of around 88°F on March 26, with NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models converging on 86-89°F amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over the southern Plains that enhances subsidence warming and clear skies. Trader sentiment clusters here—86-87°F at 37.5% implied probability edging 88-89°F at 31.0%—reflecting minor model spread from boundary layer mixing variations and slim chances of afternoon clouds capping peaks. This warmth exceeds March climatological averages near 70°F due to persistent ridging patterns, but inherent forecast uncertainty persists ahead of today's 12z model runs and NWS updates, which could refine the 84-91°F range dominating 97% of market odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Dallas le 26 mars ?
Température la plus élevée à Dallas le 26 mars ?
30-30,5°C 38%
88-89 °F 31%
84-85°F 22%
90-91°F 9%
$34,048 Vol.
$34,048 Vol.
79°F ou moins
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83 °F
2%
84-85°F
22%
30-30,5°C
38%
88-89 °F
31%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
2%
94-95 °F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F ou plus
<1%
30-30,5°C 38%
88-89 °F 31%
84-85°F 22%
90-91°F 9%
$34,048 Vol.
$34,048 Vol.
79°F ou moins
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83 °F
2%
84-85°F
22%
30-30,5°C
38%
88-89 °F
31%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
2%
94-95 °F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth indicate a high temperature of around 88°F on March 26, with NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models converging on 86-89°F amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over the southern Plains that enhances subsidence warming and clear skies. Trader sentiment clusters here—86-87°F at 37.5% implied probability edging 88-89°F at 31.0%—reflecting minor model spread from boundary layer mixing variations and slim chances of afternoon clouds capping peaks. This warmth exceeds March climatological averages near 70°F due to persistent ridging patterns, but inherent forecast uncertainty persists ahead of today's 12z model runs and NWS updates, which could refine the 84-91°F range dominating 97% of market odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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