Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 18°C (35%) or 19°C (29%) for Chongqing on March 28, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which converge on upper-teen Celsius peaks amid southerly winds and high-pressure ridging following a mid-week cold front. Recent observations confirm rebounding temperatures, with March 26 highs reaching 17°C after earlier dips below seasonal norms (historical March average ~18°C in the Sichuan Basin). Low probabilities for 20°C+ reflect upper-level trough influences capping warmth, though slight model spread introduces uncertainty; traders await CMA's next 00Z update for potential refinements ahead of the event.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 28?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 28?
18°C 30%
19°C 28%
17°C 17%
20°C 13%
$12,388 Vol.
$12,388 Vol.
Mar 28, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
17%
18°C
30%
19°C
28%
20°C
13%
21°C
7%
22°C
4%
23°C
10%
24°C or higher
1%
18°C 30%
19°C 28%
17°C 17%
20°C 13%
$12,388 Vol.
$12,388 Vol.
Mar 28, 2026
14°C or below
$3,412 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$645 Vol.
1%
16°C
$3,115 Vol.
5%
17°C
$687 Vol.
17%
18°C
$341 Vol.
30%
19°C
$319 Vol.
28%
20°C
$367 Vol.
13%
21°C
$1,707 Vol.
7%
22°C
$977 Vol.
4%
23°C
$1,112 Vol.
10%
24°C or higher
$567 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 18°C (35%) or 19°C (29%) for Chongqing on March 28, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which converge on upper-teen Celsius peaks amid southerly winds and high-pressure ridging following a mid-week cold front. Recent observations confirm rebounding temperatures, with March 26 highs reaching 17°C after earlier dips below seasonal norms (historical March average ~18°C in the Sichuan Basin). Low probabilities for 20°C+ reflect upper-level trough influences capping warmth, though slight model spread introduces uncertainty; traders await CMA's next 00Z update for potential refinements ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
Volume
$12,388Date de fin
Mar 28, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 18°C (35%) or 19°C (29%) for Chongqing on March 28, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which converge on upper-teen Celsius peaks amid southerly winds and high-pressure ridging following a mid-week cold front. Recent observations confirm rebounding temperatures, with March 26 highs reaching 17°C after earlier dips below seasonal norms (historical March average ~18°C in the Sichuan Basin). Low probabilities for 20°C+ reflect upper-level trough influences capping warmth, though slight model spread introduces uncertainty; traders await CMA's next 00Z update for potential refinements ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$12,388Date de fin
Mar 28, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 18°C (35%) or 19°C (29%) for Chongqing on March 28, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which converge on upper-teen Celsius peaks amid southerly winds and high-pressure ridging following a mid-week cold front. Recent observations confirm rebounding temperatures, with March 26 highs reaching 17°C after earlier dips below seasonal norms (historical March average ~18°C in the Sichuan Basin). Low probabilities for 20°C+ reflect upper-level trough influences capping warmth, though slight model spread introduces uncertainty; traders await CMA's next 00Z update for potential refinements ahead of the event.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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