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Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?

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Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?

62-63°F 26%

64-65°F 20%

60-61°F 19%

58-59°F 14%

Polymarket

$33,240 Vol.

62-63°F 26%

64-65°F 20%

60-61°F 19%

58-59°F 14%

Polymarket

$33,240 Vol.

53°F ou moins

$6,106 Vol.

1%

54-55°F

$2,248 Vol.

1%

56-57°F

$3,755 Vol.

5%

58-59°F

$2,271 Vol.

14%

60-61°F

$2,014 Vol.

19%

62-63°F

$1,840 Vol.

26%

64-65°F

$2,420 Vol.

20%

66-67°F

$2,381 Vol.

10%

68-69°F

$2,666 Vol.

7%

70-71°F

$2,939 Vol.

2%

72°F or higher

$4,846 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service point forecasts for Chicago's O'Hare International Airport project a high of 62°F on March 29 under partly sunny skies with south-southwest winds gusting to 25 mph, aligning with GFS and ECMWF ensemble consensus for low-to-mid 60s temperatures that drive the tight race among 62-63°F (26.5% implied probability), 64-65°F (20.5%), and 60-61°F (17.5%). This above-climatological average (~49°F late March norm) reflects southerly warm air advection amid a developing upper-level ridge during neutral-to-weak La Niña conditions, following yesterday's 12Z model runs that trended warmer. Key differentiators include boundary-layer mixing efficiency and mid-level cloudiness: strong insolation and shear favor upper-end outcomes, while increased cloud cover or delayed warming tilts lower; monitor evening 00Z updates for refinements ahead of peak afternoon heating.

National Weather Service point forecasts for Chicago's O'Hare International Airport project a high of 62°F on March 29 under partly sunny skies with south-southwest winds gusting to 25 mph, aligning with GFS and ECMWF ensemble consensus for low-to-mid 60s temperatures that drive the tight race among 62-63°F (26.5% implied probability), 64-65°F (20.5%), and 60-61°F (17.5%). This above-climatological average (~49°F late March norm) reflects southerly warm air advection amid a developing upper-level ridge during neutral-to-weak La Niña conditions, following yesterday's 12Z model runs that trended warmer. Key differentiators include boundary-layer mixing efficiency and mid-level cloudiness: strong insolation and shear favor upper-end outcomes, while increased cloud cover or delayed warming tilts lower; monitor evening 00Z updates for refinements ahead of peak afternoon heating.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service point forecasts for Chicago's O'Hare International Airport project a high of 62°F on March 29 under partly sunny skies with south-southwest winds gusting to 25 mph, aligning with GFS and ECMWF ensemble consensus for low-to-mid 60s temperatures that drive the tight race among 62-63°F (26.5% implied probability), 64-65°F (20.5%), and 60-61°F (17.5%). This above-climatological average (~49°F late March norm) reflects southerly warm air advection amid a developing upper-level ridge during neutral-to-weak La Niña conditions, following yesterday's 12Z model runs that trended warmer. Key differentiators include boundary-layer mixing efficiency and mid-level cloudiness: strong insolation and shear favor upper-end outcomes, while increased cloud cover or delayed warming tilts lower; monitor evening 00Z updates for refinements ahead of peak afternoon heating.

National Weather Service point forecasts for Chicago's O'Hare International Airport project a high of 62°F on March 29 under partly sunny skies with south-southwest winds gusting to 25 mph, aligning with GFS and ECMWF ensemble consensus for low-to-mid 60s temperatures that drive the tight race among 62-63°F (26.5% implied probability), 64-65°F (20.5%), and 60-61°F (17.5%). This above-climatological average (~49°F late March norm) reflects southerly warm air advection amid a developing upper-level ridge during neutral-to-weak La Niña conditions, following yesterday's 12Z model runs that trended warmer. Key differentiators include boundary-layer mixing efficiency and mid-level cloudiness: strong insolation and shear favor upper-end outcomes, while increased cloud cover or delayed warming tilts lower; monitor evening 00Z updates for refinements ahead of peak afternoon heating.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 62-63°F » à 26%, suivi de « 64-65°F » à 20%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 26¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 26% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29? » a généré $33.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 25, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29? » est « 62-63°F » à 26%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 26% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 64-65°F » à 20%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.