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Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?

62-63°F 24%

60-61°F 23%

64-65°F 19%

58-59°F 15%

Polymarket

$25,333 Vol.

62-63°F 24%

60-61°F 23%

64-65°F 19%

58-59°F 15%

Polymarket

$25,333 Vol.

53°F ou moins

$5,287 Vol.

1%

54-55°F

$1,922 Vol.

1%

56-57°F

$2,566 Vol.

4%

58-59°F

$1,753 Vol.

15%

60-61°F

$1,645 Vol.

23%

62-63°F

$1,254 Vol.

24%

64-65°F

$1,243 Vol.

19%

66-67°F

$1,714 Vol.

11%

68-69°F

$1,558 Vol.

5%

70-71°F

$2,448 Vol.

2%

72°F or higher

$4,013 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System and ECMWF project Chicago O'Hare International Airport's high temperature on March 29 clustering around 61-63°F, well above the 52°F climatological normal under a neutral-to-weak La Niña pattern promoting milder late-winter conditions. Trader sentiment reflects model spread on cloud cover evolution—increasing northwest clouds potentially capping peaks at 60-61°F, while partial afternoon sunshine and northwesterly winds (5-10 mph) fostering boundary layer mixing could push toward 62-65°F. Differentiating factors include frontal timing and solar insolation variability, with historical March analogs showing 2-3°F forecast uncertainty at 24 hours out; monitor tonight's 00Z model runs and morning NWS updates for refinements ahead of official KORD observations resolving the market.

Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System and ECMWF project Chicago O'Hare International Airport's high temperature on March 29 clustering around 61-63°F, well above the 52°F climatological normal under a neutral-to-weak La Niña pattern promoting milder late-winter conditions. Trader sentiment reflects model spread on cloud cover evolution—increasing northwest clouds potentially capping peaks at 60-61°F, while partial afternoon sunshine and northwesterly winds (5-10 mph) fostering boundary layer mixing could push toward 62-65°F. Differentiating factors include frontal timing and solar insolation variability, with historical March analogs showing 2-3°F forecast uncertainty at 24 hours out; monitor tonight's 00Z model runs and morning NWS updates for refinements ahead of official KORD observations resolving the market.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System and ECMWF project Chicago O'Hare International Airport's high temperature on March 29 clustering around 61-63°F, well above the 52°F climatological normal under a neutral-to-weak La Niña pattern promoting milder late-winter conditions. Trader sentiment reflects model spread on cloud cover evolution—increasing northwest clouds potentially capping peaks at 60-61°F, while partial afternoon sunshine and northwesterly winds (5-10 mph) fostering boundary layer mixing could push toward 62-65°F. Differentiating factors include frontal timing and solar insolation variability, with historical March analogs showing 2-3°F forecast uncertainty at 24 hours out; monitor tonight's 00Z model runs and morning NWS updates for refinements ahead of official KORD observations resolving the market.

Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System and ECMWF project Chicago O'Hare International Airport's high temperature on March 29 clustering around 61-63°F, well above the 52°F climatological normal under a neutral-to-weak La Niña pattern promoting milder late-winter conditions. Trader sentiment reflects model spread on cloud cover evolution—increasing northwest clouds potentially capping peaks at 60-61°F, while partial afternoon sunshine and northwesterly winds (5-10 mph) fostering boundary layer mixing could push toward 62-65°F. Differentiating factors include frontal timing and solar insolation variability, with historical March analogs showing 2-3°F forecast uncertainty at 24 hours out; monitor tonight's 00Z model runs and morning NWS updates for refinements ahead of official KORD observations resolving the market.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 62-63°F » à 24%, suivi de « 60-61°F » à 23%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 24¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 24% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29? » a généré $25.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 25, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29? » est « 62-63°F » à 24%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 24% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 60-61°F » à 23%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.