A shaky ceasefire in Gaza has held through March 2026, with Israel sustaining limited operations against Hamas while shifting focus to conflicts in Iran and Lebanon, staving off immediate escalation that could prompt foreign military involvement. No foreign troops have deployed yet, despite pledges from Indonesia (up to 8,000 personnel), Morocco, Kazakhstan, Kosovo, and Albania for a multinational International Security Force (ISF) under US-backed plans to stabilize Gaza, train local police, and facilitate reconstruction after Israeli withdrawals. Israel targets May deployment tied to Hamas demilitarization via internationally funded buybacks, but Hamas insists on border buffer roles only. Traders weigh diplomatic hurdles, regional tensions, and upcoming Board of Peace talks amid UN humanitarian appeals, with no firm timeline before potential May shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$411,295 Vol.

31 mars
1%

30 avril
11%

30 juin
32%
$411,295 Vol.

31 mars
1%

30 avril
11%

30 juin
32%
The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.
Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border.
Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.
Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Feb 18, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.
Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border.
Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.
Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A shaky ceasefire in Gaza has held through March 2026, with Israel sustaining limited operations against Hamas while shifting focus to conflicts in Iran and Lebanon, staving off immediate escalation that could prompt foreign military involvement. No foreign troops have deployed yet, despite pledges from Indonesia (up to 8,000 personnel), Morocco, Kazakhstan, Kosovo, and Albania for a multinational International Security Force (ISF) under US-backed plans to stabilize Gaza, train local police, and facilitate reconstruction after Israeli withdrawals. Israel targets May deployment tied to Hamas demilitarization via internationally funded buybacks, but Hamas insists on border buffer roles only. Traders weigh diplomatic hurdles, regional tensions, and upcoming Board of Peace talks amid UN humanitarian appeals, with no firm timeline before potential May shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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