Trader consensus favors Daniel Noboa remaining Ecuador's president through June 30, driven by the National Assembly's failure to advance impeachment proceedings against him. In May 2024, opposition lawmakers secured only 68 votes for an accountability motion—well short of the 92 needed for removal—over his security policies amid gang violence. Noboa's April 21 referendum on extradition and labor reforms passed decisively, bolstering his approval amid successful anti-cartel operations that captured key leaders. With his term secure until May 2025 and no snap elections scheduled, these developments signal low near-term ouster risk, aligning with the 90.5% "No" probability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourNEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2026
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 19, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Volume
$312Date de fin
Jun 30, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 19, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$312Date de fin
Jun 30, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 19, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors Daniel Noboa remaining Ecuador's president through June 30, driven by the National Assembly's failure to advance impeachment proceedings against him. In May 2024, opposition lawmakers secured only 68 votes for an accountability motion—well short of the 92 needed for removal—over his security policies amid gang violence. Noboa's April 21 referendum on extradition and labor reforms passed decisively, bolstering his approval amid successful anti-cartel operations that captured key leaders. With his term secure until May 2025 and no snap elections scheduled, these developments signal low near-term ouster risk, aligning with the 90.5% "No" probability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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