Colorado's 2026 gubernatorial race features term-limited Democratic incumbent Jared Polis, with Attorney General Phil Weiser securing the top ballot line in the Democratic primary after earning 90% of delegates at the party's March 28 state assembly, bolstering his edge over U.S. Senator Michael Bennet ahead of the June 30 primaries. Trader consensus reflects a commanding 93% implied probability for the Democratic nominee, anchored in the state's left-leaning electorate—where recent polls show generic Democrats leading Republicans by 12 points—and a fragmented GOP field featuring state Sen. Barbara Kirkmeyer, Rep. Scott Bottoms, and others lacking a clear frontrunner. This positioning echoes historical Democratic dominance in statewide races, though a unified Republican post-primary surge, national midterm dynamics, or a major scandal could narrow the gap.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Colorado
Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Colorado

Démocrate
93%

Républicain
6%

Démocrate
93%

Républicain
6%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Colorado's 2026 gubernatorial race features term-limited Democratic incumbent Jared Polis, with Attorney General Phil Weiser securing the top ballot line in the Democratic primary after earning 90% of delegates at the party's March 28 state assembly, bolstering his edge over U.S. Senator Michael Bennet ahead of the June 30 primaries. Trader consensus reflects a commanding 93% implied probability for the Democratic nominee, anchored in the state's left-leaning electorate—where recent polls show generic Democrats leading Republicans by 12 points—and a fragmented GOP field featuring state Sen. Barbara Kirkmeyer, Rep. Scott Bottoms, and others lacking a clear frontrunner. This positioning echoes historical Democratic dominance in statewide races, though a unified Republican post-primary surge, national midterm dynamics, or a major scandal could narrow the gap.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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