Incumbent Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham's March 16 filing for re-election in solidly red South Carolina reinforces trader consensus on a GOP general election victory, with odds implying 80.5% probability for the Republican nominee amid the state's historical dominance—no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 2002. Recent GOP primary polls, like Pulse Opinion Research (March 11-17), show Graham at 41% against challengers Mark Lynch (21%) and Paul Dans (11%), signaling potential runoff risk on June 23 if no candidate hits 50% on June 9, yet his $13 million cash-on-hand dwarfs rivals. Limited general election surveys, such as Impact Research (early March), place Graham ahead of Democrat Annie Andrews by 5 points, underscoring weak Democratic statewide viability despite her leading primary fundraising. Filing deadline looms March 30.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$13,311 Vol.
$13,311 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Républicain
81%
Démocrate
20%
$13,311 Vol.
$13,311 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Républicain
$5,439 Vol.
81%
Démocrate
$7,872 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham's March 16 filing for re-election in solidly red South Carolina reinforces trader consensus on a GOP general election victory, with odds implying 80.5% probability for the Republican nominee amid the state's historical dominance—no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 2002. Recent GOP primary polls, like Pulse Opinion Research (March 11-17), show Graham at 41% against challengers Mark Lynch (21%) and Paul Dans (11%), signaling potential runoff risk on June 23 if no candidate hits 50% on June 9, yet his $13 million cash-on-hand dwarfs rivals. Limited general election surveys, such as Impact Research (early March), place Graham ahead of Democrat Annie Andrews by 5 points, underscoring weak Democratic statewide viability despite her leading primary fundraising. Filing deadline looms March 30.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$13,311Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham's March 16 filing for re-election in solidly red South Carolina reinforces trader consensus on a GOP general election victory, with odds implying 80.5% probability for the Republican nominee amid the state's historical dominance—no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 2002. Recent GOP primary polls, like Pulse Opinion Research (March 11-17), show Graham at 41% against challengers Mark Lynch (21%) and Paul Dans (11%), signaling potential runoff risk on June 23 if no candidate hits 50% on June 9, yet his $13 million cash-on-hand dwarfs rivals. Limited general election surveys, such as Impact Research (early March), place Graham ahead of Democrat Annie Andrews by 5 points, underscoring weak Democratic statewide viability despite her leading primary fundraising. Filing deadline looms March 30.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$13,311Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham's March 16 filing for re-election in solidly red South Carolina reinforces trader consensus on a GOP general election victory, with odds implying 80.5% probability for the Republican nominee amid the state's historical dominance—no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 2002. Recent GOP primary polls, like Pulse Opinion Research (March 11-17), show Graham at 41% against challengers Mark Lynch (21%) and Paul Dans (11%), signaling potential runoff risk on June 23 if no candidate hits 50% on June 9, yet his $13 million cash-on-hand dwarfs rivals. Limited general election surveys, such as Impact Research (early March), place Graham ahead of Democrat Annie Andrews by 5 points, underscoring weak Democratic statewide viability despite her leading primary fundraising. Filing deadline looms March 30.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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