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Politique·Primaires

Gagnant primaire démocratique CO-08

icon for Gagnant primaire démocratique CO-08
Politique·Primaires

Gagnant primaire démocratique CO-08

Manny Rutinel 81%

Shannon Bird 20%

Yadira Caraveo 1.3%

Dave Young <1%

Polymarket

$20,154 Vol.

Manny Rutinel 81%

Shannon Bird 20%

Yadira Caraveo 1.3%

Dave Young <1%

Polymarket

$20,154 Vol.

Manny Rutinel

$12,687 Vol.

81%

Shannon Bird

$2,518 Vol.

20%

Yadira Caraveo

$955 Vol.

1%

Dave Young

$1,579 Vol.

1%

John Szemler

$1,153 Vol.

<1%

Amie Baca-Oehlert

$1,261 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Manny Rutinel commands overwhelming trader consensus at 80% implied probability to win Colorado's 8th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 30, driven by his fundraising dominance—leading Democrats fiscally since early 2026—and a mid-April $50,000 digital ad campaign targeting former state Rep. Shannon Bird's ICE record, consolidating support in a two-way race as noted by Cook Political Report. A late-April Normington Petts poll (Bird internal) showed Bird edging Rutinel 25%-24% among decided voters, but 45% undecided leaves room for momentum shifts favoring Rutinel amid NRCC attacks positioning him as the frontrunner. Former Rep. Yadira Caraveo trails at 1.3% after dropping out in September 2025, with others negligible in this battleground district contest.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$20,154
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Manny Rutinel commands overwhelming trader consensus at 80% implied probability to win Colorado's 8th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 30, driven by his fundraising dominance—leading Democrats fiscally since early 2026—and a mid-April $50,000 digital ad campaign targeting former state Rep. Shannon Bird's ICE record, consolidating support in a two-way race as noted by Cook Political Report. A late-April Normington Petts poll (Bird internal) showed Bird edging Rutinel 25%-24% among decided voters, but 45% undecided leaves room for momentum shifts favoring Rutinel amid NRCC attacks positioning him as the frontrunner. Former Rep. Yadira Caraveo trails at 1.3% after dropping out in September 2025, with others negligible in this battleground district contest.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$20,154
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« Gagnant primaire démocratique CO-08 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Manny Rutinel » à 81%, suivi de « Shannon Bird » à 20%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 81¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 81% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Gagnant primaire démocratique CO-08 » a généré $20.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 25, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Gagnant primaire démocratique CO-08 », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Gagnant primaire démocratique CO-08 » est « Manny Rutinel » à 81%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 81% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Shannon Bird » à 20%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Gagnant primaire démocratique CO-08 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.