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Politique·Primaires

Gagnant primaire démocratique CO-08

icon for Gagnant primaire démocratique CO-08
Politique·Primaires

Gagnant primaire démocratique CO-08

Manny Rutinel 73%

Shannon Bird 22%

Yadira Caraveo 1.1%

John Szemler <1%

Polymarket

$21,888 Vol.

Manny Rutinel 73%

Shannon Bird 22%

Yadira Caraveo 1.1%

John Szemler <1%

Polymarket

$21,888 Vol.

Manny Rutinel

$13,538 Vol.

73%

Shannon Bird

$2,733 Vol.

22%

Yadira Caraveo

$1,039 Vol.

1%

John Szemler

$1,552 Vol.

<1%

Amie Baca-Oehlert

$1,345 Vol.

<1%

Dave Young

$1,682 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Manny Rutinel leads the Democratic primary contest for Colorado's 8th congressional district with strong trader consensus, driven by his substantial fundraising edge and endorsements from labor organizations and the BOLD PAC. The June 30 primary has narrowed to a two-candidate dynamic after former Representative Yadira Caraveo withdrew, leaving state Representative Rutinel positioned as the progressive option against former state Representative Shannon Bird, who draws support from the Blue Dog Coalition and EMILY's List. Recent negative advertising from Rutinel's campaign targeting Bird's record on immigration enforcement has heightened visibility without shifting the overall positioning ahead of the vote. The remaining candidates hold minimal implied probabilities, consistent with limited organizational backing and resources in this competitive swing district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$21,888
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Manny Rutinel leads the Democratic primary contest for Colorado's 8th congressional district with strong trader consensus, driven by his substantial fundraising edge and endorsements from labor organizations and the BOLD PAC. The June 30 primary has narrowed to a two-candidate dynamic after former Representative Yadira Caraveo withdrew, leaving state Representative Rutinel positioned as the progressive option against former state Representative Shannon Bird, who draws support from the Blue Dog Coalition and EMILY's List. Recent negative advertising from Rutinel's campaign targeting Bird's record on immigration enforcement has heightened visibility without shifting the overall positioning ahead of the vote. The remaining candidates hold minimal implied probabilities, consistent with limited organizational backing and resources in this competitive swing district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$21,888
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« Gagnant primaire démocratique CO-08 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Manny Rutinel » à 73%, suivi de « Shannon Bird » à 22%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 73¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 73% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Gagnant primaire démocratique CO-08 » a généré $21.9K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 25, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Gagnant primaire démocratique CO-08 », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Gagnant primaire démocratique CO-08 » est « Manny Rutinel » à 73%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 73% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Shannon Bird » à 22%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Gagnant primaire démocratique CO-08 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.