Trader consensus in the CA-19 House election strongly favors the Democratic Party, driven by the district’s consistent partisan lean, voter registration advantages, and historical results in this Central Coast region of California. The leading candidate benefits from incumbency advantages, established name recognition, and alignment with local priorities such as agriculture, water policy, and coastal issues. These structural factors have produced limited movement in recent polling averages and early fundraising reports. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include late-breaking scandals, health-related withdrawals, or unexpected national political realignments that alter turnout patterns in the weeks before ballots are cast.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre CA-19
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre CA-19
$26,790 Vol.
$26,790 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
93%
Parti républicain
5%
$26,790 Vol.
$26,790 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$16,565 Vol.
93%
Parti républicain
$10,226 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus in the CA-19 House election strongly favors the Democratic Party, driven by the district’s consistent partisan lean, voter registration advantages, and historical results in this Central Coast region of California. The leading candidate benefits from incumbency advantages, established name recognition, and alignment with local priorities such as agriculture, water policy, and coastal issues. These structural factors have produced limited movement in recent polling averages and early fundraising reports. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include late-breaking scandals, health-related withdrawals, or unexpected national political realignments that alter turnout patterns in the weeks before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$26,790Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus in the CA-19 House election strongly favors the Democratic Party, driven by the district’s consistent partisan lean, voter registration advantages, and historical results in this Central Coast region of California. The leading candidate benefits from incumbency advantages, established name recognition, and alignment with local priorities such as agriculture, water policy, and coastal issues. These structural factors have produced limited movement in recent polling averages and early fundraising reports. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include late-breaking scandals, health-related withdrawals, or unexpected national political realignments that alter turnout patterns in the weeks before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,790Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the CA-19 House election strongly favors the Democratic Party, driven by the district’s consistent partisan lean, voter registration advantages, and historical results in this Central Coast region of California. The leading candidate benefits from incumbency advantages, established name recognition, and alignment with local priorities such as agriculture, water policy, and coastal issues. These structural factors have produced limited movement in recent polling averages and early fundraising reports. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include late-breaking scandals, health-related withdrawals, or unexpected national political realignments that alter turnout patterns in the weeks before ballots are cast.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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