Trader consensus gives Jeff Bezos a 100% implied probability as the third-richest person on March 31, 2026, backed by real-time snapshots from Forbes and Bloomberg Billionaires Index confirming his position behind frontrunners Elon Musk and Larry Page, ahead of Sergey Brin by roughly $4 billion. Late-March momentum from steady Amazon stock gains widened the gap over Brin, whose Alphabet shares dipped amid tech sector fluctuations, solidifying Bezos' lead after overtaking him earlier in the year. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects overwhelming precursor data from daily index updates. Realistic upsets would require extreme end-of-day surges in competitors' stocks like Nvidia or Oracle, but wide margins and market closes make shifts improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour3ème personne la plus riche le 31 mars ?
3ème personne la plus riche le 31 mars ?
Jeff Bezos 100.0%
Larry Ellison <1%
Bernard Arnault <1%
Jensen Huang <1%
$351,778 Vol.
$351,778 Vol.

Larry Ellison
Non

Bernard Arnault
Non

Jensen Huang
Non

Steve Ballmer
Non

Sergey Brin
Non

Elon Musk
Non

Mark Zuckerberg
Non

Jeff Bezos
Oui

Warren Buffett
Non

Larry Page
Non
Jeff Bezos 100.0%
Larry Ellison <1%
Bernard Arnault <1%
Jensen Huang <1%
$351,778 Vol.
$351,778 Vol.

Larry Ellison
Non

Bernard Arnault
Non

Jensen Huang
Non

Steve Ballmer
Non

Sergey Brin
Non

Elon Musk
Non

Mark Zuckerberg
Non

Jeff Bezos
Oui

Warren Buffett
Non

Larry Page
Non
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Marché ouvert : Jan 30, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus gives Jeff Bezos a 100% implied probability as the third-richest person on March 31, 2026, backed by real-time snapshots from Forbes and Bloomberg Billionaires Index confirming his position behind frontrunners Elon Musk and Larry Page, ahead of Sergey Brin by roughly $4 billion. Late-March momentum from steady Amazon stock gains widened the gap over Brin, whose Alphabet shares dipped amid tech sector fluctuations, solidifying Bezos' lead after overtaking him earlier in the year. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects overwhelming precursor data from daily index updates. Realistic upsets would require extreme end-of-day surges in competitors' stocks like Nvidia or Oracle, but wide margins and market closes make shifts improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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