Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.3% implied probability for Victor Wembanyama recording a quadruple-double in the 2025-26 NBA season, reflecting the extreme rarity of the feat—only four in league history—amid his failure to achieve one through 64 regular-season games and at least four playoff contests. Despite elite production (25.0 PPG, 11.5 RPG, unanimous Kia Defensive Player of the Year honors) driving the Spurs' 62-20 record and Western Conference Semifinals berth, Wembanyama's modest 3.1 APG and 1.0 SPG make 10+ in a fourth category unlikely, even in near-misses like Game 1's 11 points, 15 rebounds, 5 assists, and 12 blocks. With the series tied 2-2 versus Minnesota ahead of Game 5, an outlier performance in a prolonged playoff run remains the sole realistic path, though traders dismiss it given historical precedents.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$143,718 Vol.
$143,718 Vol.
$143,718 Vol.
$143,718 Vol.
A 'quadruple-double' is defined as, in a single game, achieving double digits in four of the following categories: points, rebounds, assists, steals, or blocks.
This market may resolve to "Yes" as soon as Victor Wembanyama is confirmed to have recorded a quadruple double. Stat corrections or other post-game adjustments made after the initial box score is published will not be considered.
If Victor Wembanyama has not recorded a quadruple double, and either it is officially announced by his team that he will miss the remainder of the season, or his team is eliminated from the NBA season, this market will resolve immediately to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official NBA game statistics as reported on NBA.com.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 10:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A 'quadruple-double' is defined as, in a single game, achieving double digits in four of the following categories: points, rebounds, assists, steals, or blocks.
This market may resolve to "Yes" as soon as Victor Wembanyama is confirmed to have recorded a quadruple double. Stat corrections or other post-game adjustments made after the initial box score is published will not be considered.
If Victor Wembanyama has not recorded a quadruple double, and either it is officially announced by his team that he will miss the remainder of the season, or his team is eliminated from the NBA season, this market will resolve immediately to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official NBA game statistics as reported on NBA.com.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.3% implied probability for Victor Wembanyama recording a quadruple-double in the 2025-26 NBA season, reflecting the extreme rarity of the feat—only four in league history—amid his failure to achieve one through 64 regular-season games and at least four playoff contests. Despite elite production (25.0 PPG, 11.5 RPG, unanimous Kia Defensive Player of the Year honors) driving the Spurs' 62-20 record and Western Conference Semifinals berth, Wembanyama's modest 3.1 APG and 1.0 SPG make 10+ in a fourth category unlikely, even in near-misses like Game 1's 11 points, 15 rebounds, 5 assists, and 12 blocks. With the series tied 2-2 versus Minnesota ahead of Game 5, an outlier performance in a prolonged playoff run remains the sole realistic path, though traders dismiss it given historical precedents.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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