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Will Trump disparage Machado on Thursday?

Market icon

Will Trump disparage Machado on Thursday?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$14,963 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$14,963 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement during the day on which they next meet in person in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Maria Machado personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling Machado weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “Machado isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to Machado's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “Machado isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if Machado is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that she is the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
Volume
$14,963
End Date
Jan 15, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 13, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement during the day on which they next meet in person in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Maria Machado personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling Machado weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “Machado isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to Machado's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “Machado isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if Machado is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that she is the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement during the day on which they next meet in person in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Maria Machado personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling Machado weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “Machado isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to Machado's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “Machado isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if Machado is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that she is the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
Volume
$14,963
End Date
Jan 15, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 13, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement during the day on which they next meet in person in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Maria Machado personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling Machado weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “Machado isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to Machado's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “Machado isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if Machado is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that she is the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump disparage Machado on Thursday?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump disparage Machado on Thursday?" has generated $15K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump disparage Machado on Thursday?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Trump disparage Machado on Thursday?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump disparage Machado on Thursday?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.