Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 98% for the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capturing Khartoum by June 30, reflecting the Sudanese Armed Forces' (SAF) firm control of the capital since recapturing it in May 2025 after over two years of RSF occupation. Recent reports highlight a military impasse entering the war's fourth year, with RSF focusing advances on western Darfur, Kordofan, and Blue Nile border areas like Kurmuk in early April, but no significant push toward Khartoum amid entrenched territorial divisions. With just over two months remaining, SAF dominance in central Sudan underpins high confidence, though sudden escalations, external support shifts, or major breakthroughs could theoretically alter dynamics despite logistical barriers and stalemate.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?
Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?
$18,208 Vol.
$18,208 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$18,208 Vol.
$18,208 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 98% for the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capturing Khartoum by June 30, reflecting the Sudanese Armed Forces' (SAF) firm control of the capital since recapturing it in May 2025 after over two years of RSF occupation. Recent reports highlight a military impasse entering the war's fourth year, with RSF focusing advances on western Darfur, Kordofan, and Blue Nile border areas like Kurmuk in early April, but no significant push toward Khartoum amid entrenched territorial divisions. With just over two months remaining, SAF dominance in central Sudan underpins high confidence, though sudden escalations, external support shifts, or major breakthroughs could theoretically alter dynamics despite logistical barriers and stalemate.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
Market Opened: Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ET
Volume
$18,208End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 98% for the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capturing Khartoum by June 30, reflecting the Sudanese Armed Forces' (SAF) firm control of the capital since recapturing it in May 2025 after over two years of RSF occupation. Recent reports highlight a military impasse entering the war's fourth year, with RSF focusing advances on western Darfur, Kordofan, and Blue Nile border areas like Kurmuk in early April, but no significant push toward Khartoum amid entrenched territorial divisions. With just over two months remaining, SAF dominance in central Sudan underpins high confidence, though sudden escalations, external support shifts, or major breakthroughs could theoretically alter dynamics despite logistical barriers and stalemate.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
Volume
$18,208End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 98% for the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capturing Khartoum by June 30, reflecting the Sudanese Armed Forces' (SAF) firm control of the capital since recapturing it in May 2025 after over two years of RSF occupation. Recent reports highlight a military impasse entering the war's fourth year, with RSF focusing advances on western Darfur, Kordofan, and Blue Nile border areas like Kurmuk in early April, but no significant push toward Khartoum amid entrenched territorial divisions. With just over two months remaining, SAF dominance in central Sudan underpins high confidence, though sudden escalations, external support shifts, or major breakthroughs could theoretically alter dynamics despite logistical barriers and stalemate.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions