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icon for Will Melania Trump be deported?

Will Melania Trump be deported?

icon for Will Melania Trump be deported?

Will Melania Trump be deported?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$231,112 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$231,112 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Melania Trump is officially deported from the United States by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Melania from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Melania Trump is officially deported from the United States by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Melania from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count.

The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Melania Trump is officially deported from the United States by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Melania from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
Volume
$231,112
End Date
Jun 30, 2025
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2025, 4:31 PM ET

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Melania Trump is officially deported from the United States by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Melania from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Melania Trump is officially deported from the United States by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Melania from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count.

The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Melania Trump is officially deported from the United States by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Melania from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
Volume
$0
End Date
Jun 30, 2025
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2025, 4:31 PM ET

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Melania Trump be deported?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Melania Trump be deported?" has generated $231.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Melania Trump be deported?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Melania Trump be deported?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Melania Trump be deported?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.