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Will Gold (GC) hit __ by end of March?

Market icon

Will Gold (GC) hit __ by end of March?

$2,902,875 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$2,902,875 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $10,000

$321,460 Vol.

<1%

↑ $7,000

$360,827 Vol.

<1%

↑ $6,600

$104,477 Vol.

<1%

↑ $6,400

$78,972 Vol.

<1%

↑ $6,200

$88,190 Vol.

<1%

↑ $6,000

$42,561 Vol.

<1%

↑ $5,800

$76,660 Vol.

<1%

↑ $5,600

$68,075 Vol.

<1%

↑ $5,500

$62,940 Vol.

<1%

↑ $5,400

$170,084 Vol.

<1%

↓ $4,300

$178,121 Vol.

27%

↓ $4,000

$222,579 Vol.

5%

↓ $3,600

$203,826 Vol.

1%

↓ $3,000

$284,661 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold (GC) futures have surged to all-time highs near $2,180/oz following the Federal Reserve's March 20 FOMC meeting, where the dot plot projected three 25-basis-point rate cuts in 2024 amid cooling but sticky inflation, bolstering trader bets on lower real yields and a softer U.S. dollar (DXY below 104). March 12 CPI data surprised higher at 3.2% core year-over-year, yet central bank purchases—led by China—and geopolitical risks in the Middle East sustained momentum. Polymarket sentiment prices in accommodative policy tailwinds; key catalyst is the March 29 PCE inflation release, with sub-2% readings potentially propelling prices toward $2,200 before March 31 close, while hotter data risks pullback to $2,100 support.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.

Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.

Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.

Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.

This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.

The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volume
$2,902,875
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold (GC) futures have surged to all-time highs near $2,180/oz following the Federal Reserve's March 20 FOMC meeting, where the dot plot projected three 25-basis-point rate cuts in 2024 amid cooling but sticky inflation, bolstering trader bets on lower real yields and a softer U.S. dollar (DXY below 104). March 12 CPI data surprised higher at 3.2% core year-over-year, yet central bank purchases—led by China—and geopolitical risks in the Middle East sustained momentum. Polymarket sentiment prices in accommodative policy tailwinds; key catalyst is the March 29 PCE inflation release, with sub-2% readings potentially propelling prices toward $2,200 before March 31 close, while hotter data risks pullback to $2,100 support.

Gold (GC) futures have surged to all-time highs near $2,180/oz following the Federal Reserve's March 20 FOMC meeting, where the dot plot projected three 25-basis-point rate cuts in 2024 amid cooling but sticky inflation, bolstering trader bets on lower real yields and a softer U.S. dollar (DXY below 104). March 12 CPI data surprised higher at 3.2% core year-over-year, yet central bank purchases—led by China—and geopolitical risks in the Middle East sustained momentum. Polymarket sentiment prices in accommodative policy tailwinds; key catalyst is the March 29 PCE inflation release, with sub-2% readings potentially propelling prices toward $2,200 before March 31 close, while hotter data risks pullback to $2,100 support.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Gold (GC) hit __ by end of March?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↓ $5,200" at 100%, followed by "↓ $5,100" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Gold (GC) hit __ by end of March?" has generated $2.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Gold (GC) hit __ by end of March?," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Gold (GC) hit __ by end of March?" is "↓ $5,200" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↓ $5,100" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Gold (GC) hit __ by end of March?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.