Gold futures (GC) have corrected sharply from a March peak near $5,600 to around $4,490 amid a hawkish Federal Reserve stance following the March 19 FOMC meeting, where policymakers held the fed funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% and signaled just one cut for 2026 amid sticky inflation. Elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions have bolstered inflation fears and real yields, strengthening the U.S. dollar and pressuring non-yielding gold despite ongoing central bank purchases. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution for breaching high price thresholds by March 31 close, with today's settlement resolving the market; key intraday levels near $4,500 could sway final positioning amid quarter-end flows.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWill Gold (GC) hit __ by end of March?
Will Gold (GC) hit __ by end of March?
$3,362,528 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
↑ $10,000
<1%
↑ $7,000
<1%
↑ $6,600
<1%
↑ $6,400
<1%
↑ $6,200
<1%
↑ $6,000
<1%
↑ $5,800
<1%
↑ $5,600
<1%
↑ $5,500
<1%
↑ $5,400
<1%
↓ $4,300
3%
↓ $4,000
1%
↓ $3,600
<1%
↓ $3,000
<1%
$3,362,528 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$324,632 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7,000
$365,646 Vol.
<1%
↑ $6,600
$108,280 Vol.
<1%
↑ $6,400
$80,549 Vol.
<1%
↑ $6,200
$108,749 Vol.
<1%
↑ $6,000
$69,779 Vol.
<1%
↑ $5,800
$114,612 Vol.
<1%
↑ $5,600
$75,715 Vol.
<1%
↑ $5,500
$68,803 Vol.
<1%
↑ $5,400
$209,680 Vol.
<1%
↓ $4,300
$208,188 Vol.
3%
↓ $4,000
$252,085 Vol.
1%
↓ $3,600
$237,142 Vol.
<1%
↓ $3,000
$499,537 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) have corrected sharply from a March peak near $5,600 to around $4,490 amid a hawkish Federal Reserve stance following the March 19 FOMC meeting, where policymakers held the fed funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% and signaled just one cut for 2026 amid sticky inflation. Elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions have bolstered inflation fears and real yields, strengthening the U.S. dollar and pressuring non-yielding gold despite ongoing central bank purchases. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution for breaching high price thresholds by March 31 close, with today's settlement resolving the market; key intraday levels near $4,500 could sway final positioning amid quarter-end flows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Market Opened: Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Volume
$3,362,528End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) have corrected sharply from a March peak near $5,600 to around $4,490 amid a hawkish Federal Reserve stance following the March 19 FOMC meeting, where policymakers held the fed funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% and signaled just one cut for 2026 amid sticky inflation. Elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions have bolstered inflation fears and real yields, strengthening the U.S. dollar and pressuring non-yielding gold despite ongoing central bank purchases. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution for breaching high price thresholds by March 31 close, with today's settlement resolving the market; key intraday levels near $4,500 could sway final positioning amid quarter-end flows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volume
$3,362,528End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold futures (GC) have corrected sharply from a March peak near $5,600 to around $4,490 amid a hawkish Federal Reserve stance following the March 19 FOMC meeting, where policymakers held the fed funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% and signaled just one cut for 2026 amid sticky inflation. Elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions have bolstered inflation fears and real yields, strengthening the U.S. dollar and pressuring non-yielding gold despite ongoing central bank purchases. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution for breaching high price thresholds by March 31 close, with today's settlement resolving the market; key intraday levels near $4,500 could sway final positioning amid quarter-end flows.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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