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Will Canada raise tariffs on the U.S. before June?

Market icon

Will Canada raise tariffs on the U.S. before June?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$19,978 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$19,978 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Canadian government or its administration officially announces that Canada will impose any new or increased tariffs on the United States by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any tariff which is officially announced within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of if/when the tariff goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting the United States will qualify. For example, a tariff on North America or a global tariff (tariffs on all imports into Canada) will not count toward this market's resolution. Announcements that tariffs which were previously delayed will go into effect will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Canadian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Canadian government or its administration officially announces that Canada will impose any new or increased tariffs on the United States by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any tariff which is officially announced within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of if/when the tariff goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting the United States will qualify. For example, a tariff on North America or a global tariff (tariffs on all imports into Canada) will not count toward this market's resolution. Announcements that tariffs which were previously delayed will go into effect will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Canadian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Canada raise tariffs on the U.S. before June?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Canada raise tariffs on the U.S. before June?" has generated $20K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Canada raise tariffs on the U.S. before June?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Canada raise tariffs on the U.S. before June?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Canada raise tariffs on the U.S. before June?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.