A partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, ongoing since February 14, 2026, has fueled trader focus on H.R. 7744, the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026, amid airport security lines and Transportation Security Administration disruptions. House Republicans passed the full-year funding bill on March 5 and a 60-day stopgap late March 27, sending it to the Senate, but Democrats demand curbs on Immigration and Customs Enforcement and Customs and Border Protection enforcement funding. President Trump's executive directive authorizing TSA pay adds urgency. With the March 31 deadline looming, markets hinge on moderate Senate Democrats like Catherine Cortez Masto or Patty Murray crossing party lines for cloture or passage, as whip counts signal tight negotiations in the Appropriations Committee.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWho will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
$72,702 Vol.

Patty Murray
23%

Catherine Cortez Masto
27%

Mike Lee
15%

Tim Kaine
9%

Lisa Murkowski
12%

Jeanne Shaheen
9%

Jacky Rosen
8%

Rick Scott
6%

Angus King
6%

Maggie Hassan
5%

Dick Durbin
5%

Chris Coons
4%

Bernie Sanders
4%

Mark Warner
4%

Thom Tillis
3%

Chuck Schumer
3%

Susan Collins
3%

Amy Klobuchar
2%

Rand Paul
2%

Chris Murphy
2%

Ron Johnson
2%

Kirsten Gillibrand
2%

John Fetterman
<1%
$72,702 Vol.

Patty Murray
23%

Catherine Cortez Masto
27%

Mike Lee
15%

Tim Kaine
9%

Lisa Murkowski
12%

Jeanne Shaheen
9%

Jacky Rosen
8%

Rick Scott
6%

Angus King
6%

Maggie Hassan
5%

Dick Durbin
5%

Chris Coons
4%

Bernie Sanders
4%

Mark Warner
4%

Thom Tillis
3%

Chuck Schumer
3%

Susan Collins
3%

Amy Klobuchar
2%

Rand Paul
2%

Chris Murphy
2%

Ron Johnson
2%

Kirsten Gillibrand
2%

John Fetterman
<1%
This market will resolve to "No" if no vote on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The listed senator's vote during the first qualifying roll-call vote on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, will be used for this market’s resolution, regardless of whether that bill is later signed into law.
Any vote by the listed U.S. senator on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, whether that bill is voted on individually or as part of a larger legislative package in which DHS appropriations are clearly included, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
Any vote on a continuing resolution (CR), whether or not it includes Department of Homeland Security funding, will not qualify for this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "No" if no vote on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The listed senator's vote during the first qualifying roll-call vote on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, will be used for this market’s resolution, regardless of whether that bill is later signed into law.
Any vote by the listed U.S. senator on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, whether that bill is voted on individually or as part of a larger legislative package in which DHS appropriations are clearly included, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
Any vote on a continuing resolution (CR), whether or not it includes Department of Homeland Security funding, will not qualify for this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, ongoing since February 14, 2026, has fueled trader focus on H.R. 7744, the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026, amid airport security lines and Transportation Security Administration disruptions. House Republicans passed the full-year funding bill on March 5 and a 60-day stopgap late March 27, sending it to the Senate, but Democrats demand curbs on Immigration and Customs Enforcement and Customs and Border Protection enforcement funding. President Trump's executive directive authorizing TSA pay adds urgency. With the March 31 deadline looming, markets hinge on moderate Senate Democrats like Catherine Cortez Masto or Patty Murray crossing party lines for cloture or passage, as whip counts signal tight negotiations in the Appropriations Committee.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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