US-Iran peace talks hosted by Pakistan in Islamabad concluded without agreement on April 12 after marathon sessions led by Vice President JD Vance, leaving a fragile two-week ceasefire at risk amid Iran's reported re-closure of the Strait of Hormuz and stalled progress on nuclear curbs, sanctions relief, and shipping access. President Trump convened a White House Situation Room meeting on April 18 with Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, envoy Steve Witkoff, and others to address the crisis, signaling urgency for a second round. Pakistani Army Chief Asim Munir's April 15 Tehran visit underscores ongoing mediation, while Iran's Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf cited negotiation advances but major gaps, positioning traders to watch for high-level US diplomatic engagements before April 30 to prevent escalation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$299,290 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
Donald Trump
11%
J.D. Vance
60%
Marco Rubio
12%
Jared Kushner
63%
Steve Witkoff
73%
$299,290 Vol.
Donald Trump
$235,471 Vol.
11%
J.D. Vance
$25,871 Vol.
60%
Marco Rubio
$14,490 Vol.
12%
Jared Kushner
$11,865 Vol.
63%
Steve Witkoff
$11,592 Vol.
73%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran peace talks hosted by Pakistan in Islamabad concluded without agreement on April 12 after marathon sessions led by Vice President JD Vance, leaving a fragile two-week ceasefire at risk amid Iran's reported re-closure of the Strait of Hormuz and stalled progress on nuclear curbs, sanctions relief, and shipping access. President Trump convened a White House Situation Room meeting on April 18 with Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, envoy Steve Witkoff, and others to address the crisis, signaling urgency for a second round. Pakistani Army Chief Asim Munir's April 15 Tehran visit underscores ongoing mediation, while Iran's Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf cited negotiation advances but major gaps, positioning traders to watch for high-level US diplomatic engagements before April 30 to prevent escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Volume
$299,290End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran peace talks hosted by Pakistan in Islamabad concluded without agreement on April 12 after marathon sessions led by Vice President JD Vance, leaving a fragile two-week ceasefire at risk amid Iran's reported re-closure of the Strait of Hormuz and stalled progress on nuclear curbs, sanctions relief, and shipping access. President Trump convened a White House Situation Room meeting on April 18 with Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, envoy Steve Witkoff, and others to address the crisis, signaling urgency for a second round. Pakistani Army Chief Asim Munir's April 15 Tehran visit underscores ongoing mediation, while Iran's Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf cited negotiation advances but major gaps, positioning traders to watch for high-level US diplomatic engagements before April 30 to prevent escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$299,290End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran peace talks hosted by Pakistan in Islamabad concluded without agreement on April 12 after marathon sessions led by Vice President JD Vance, leaving a fragile two-week ceasefire at risk amid Iran's reported re-closure of the Strait of Hormuz and stalled progress on nuclear curbs, sanctions relief, and shipping access. President Trump convened a White House Situation Room meeting on April 18 with Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, envoy Steve Witkoff, and others to address the crisis, signaling urgency for a second round. Pakistani Army Chief Asim Munir's April 15 Tehran visit underscores ongoing mediation, while Iran's Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf cited negotiation advances but major gaps, positioning traders to watch for high-level US diplomatic engagements before April 30 to prevent escalation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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